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Ageing Asia: A New Challenge for the Region

7 May 2007 (10:00 a.m. - 12:00 p.m.)

Many countries in Asia, particularly in East Asia, are now on the edge of drastic demographic changes. Some countries will face demographic challenges related to a declining share of their working populations and an increase in the share of aged dependents as early as 2015-2020. This is expected to have adverse effects on their economic performance and prospects through a decrease in the labor force, and lower saving and investment rates. However, there are a number of Southeast Asian countries that will face the opposite problem. Although populations are still very young in these countries, over the next two decades a bulge in the size of the working age population will occur. This raises the potential for significant levels of unemployment and related social problems.

Increasing liberalization and regional integration imply that these development imbalances between "older" and "younger" countries may be mediated by crossborder movements of capital and/or labor. This underscores the importance of dealing with aging issues not just at the domestic level, but at the regional level as well.

Against this backdrop, this seminar will provide an opportunity to:

  1. discuss the current status and characteristics of aging in Asia;
  2. draw out its domestic and regional implications, and
  3. explore feasible policy responses.

Since much of the work on aging in Asia has had a strong domestic focus, the seminar will pay particular attention to the regional dimension, especially the role that regional cooperation could play.

PROGRAM/SPEAKERS
Time SpeakerTopic
10:00 a.m. Masahiro Kawai
Dean, ADBI
Opening Remarks [PDF]
10:15 a.m. David Canning
Professor of Economics and International Health, Department of Population and International Health, Harvard University
The impact of aging on Asian development [PDF]

Open discussion
10:45 a.m. Charles Yuji Horioka
Professor of Economics, Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University
Aging, saving, and fiscal policy

Presentation [PDF]| Abstract [PDF]

Open discussion
11:15 a.m. Ralph C. Bryant
Senior Fellow, The Brookings Institution
Cross-border movements of goods and capital caused by national differences in population aging [PDF]

Question and answer session
Moderator:
Philip Bowring

Read the ADB President Kuroda's Closing Remarks.

Contact Us

For further information, contact Mr. Jayant Menon, email: jmenon@adbi.org



For inquiries, e-mail: amseminars@adb.org