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Asian Development Outlook 2004

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ISBN: 0-19-596849-5
Pub. Date: 2004
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The annual Asian Development Outlook provides a comprehensive economic analysis of 41 economies in developing Asia and the Pacific. On the basis of the Asian Development Bank's unique knowledge of the region, this 16th edition overviews aggregate trends and medium-term prospects by subregion—East Asia, Southeast Asia, South Asia, Central Asia, and the Pacific—in the context of global economic movements.

The region's developing economies generally showed remarkable resilience in 2003. Despite the uncertainties generated by the Iraq conflict, high oil prices, the outbreak of the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) epidemic, and a slow recovery in major industrial countries during the first half of the year, economic growth reached 6.3% in 2003, making it the most dynamic region in the world.

Intraregional trade and strong consumer demand will define the outlook for developing Asia in 2004–2005. The stronger outlook for industrial countries over that period will provide a cushion against a possible slowing of surging exports to the People's Republic of China. It will also soften the impact of fiscal consolidation measures that need to be taken in some regional economies.

The Asian Development Outlook 2004 includes a chapter on foreign direct investment (FDI) in developing Asia. It argues that, based on a study of a diverse group of developing Asian countries with large or rapidly rising inflows of FDI, the international benefits of FDI are, in fact, highly variable but not necessarily cost-free. The magnitude and productivity of capital flows are dependent on the establishment of an enabling, business-friendly commercial environment, consistent with national development objectives. In this context, a useful paradigm is the "three i's"—incentives, institutions, and infrastructure.

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Contents

Foreword, Acknowledgments, Acronyms and Abbreviations, Definitions [ PDF: 318kb | 12 pages ]

Part 1    Developing Asia and the World [ PDF: 1,618kb | 37 pages ]

Overview of Economic Highlights and Prospects
Resolving Developing Asia's Nonperforming Loans

Part 2    Economic Trends and Prospects in Developing Asia

East Asia [ PDF: 712kb | 28 pages ]

People's Republic of China
Hong Kong, China
Republic of Korea
Mongolia
Taipei,China

Southeast Asia [ PDF: 1,114kb | 40 pages ]

Cambodia
Indonesia
Lao People’s Democratic Republic
Malaysia
Myanmar
Philippines
Singapore
Thailand
Viet Nam

South Asia [ PDF: 1,521kb | 36 pages ]

Afghanistan
Bangladesh
Bhutan
India
Maldives
Nepal
Pakistan
Sri Lanka

Central Asia [ PDF: 694kb | 24 pages ]

Azerbaijan
Kazakhstan
Kyrgyz Republic
Tajikistan
Turkmenistan
Uzbekistan

The Pacific [ PDF: 1,067kb | 43 pages ]

Cook Islands
Fiji Islands
Kiribati
Republic of the Marshall Islands
Federated States of Micronesia
Nauru
Papua New Guinea
Samoa
Solomon Islands
Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste
Tonga
Tuvalu
Vanuatu

Part 3    Foreign Direct Investments in Developing Asia [ PDF: 1,480kb | 59 pages ]

Trends
Impact of Foreign Direct Investment
Importance of the Policy Context
International Investment Agreements
Six Asian Case Studies
Conclusions and Policy Implications
End notes
References

Statistical Appendix [ PDF: 2,673kb | 30 pages ]


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© Asian Development Bank 2004

First published in 2004
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All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, without the prior permission in writing of the Asian Development Bank.

This book was prepared by the staff of the Asian Development Bank, and the analyses and assessments contained herein do not necessarily reflect the views of the Board of Directors or the governments that they represent. The Asian Development Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this publication and accepts no responsibility whatsoever for any consequence for their use. The term “country” does not imply any judgment by the Asian Development Bank as to the legal or other status of any territorial entity.

Published for the Asian Development Bank by Oxford University Press

British Library Cataloguing in Publication Data available

Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication-Data available

ISBN 0-19-596839-5
ISSN 0117-0481


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