Export or domestic demand-led growth in developing Asia?
In recent years, some developing Asian countries claim to have started shifting emphasis from export-led to domestic demand-led growth policies with a view to achieving a more balanced growth strategy. This part of ADO 2005 evaluates empirically how far this shift has gone. The evaluation--based on an analysis of five countries--finds no evidence that the last decade has been marked by such a shift at the expense of a decline in net exports. It also finds that periods of expansionary domestic demand and deteriorating net exports signaled an ensuing crisis.
Back Risks to the outlook, and challenges for developing Asia