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Asian Development Outlook 2006 Update

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Pub. Date: 2006
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Developing Asia and the Pacific is set to record another good year in 2006.

In spite of escalating oil prices, soaring costs of commodity imports, and rising interest rates, growth is projected to be 7.7%, up from 7.6% in 2005. This is higher than the forecast in Asian Development Outlook 2006, released in April this year. Accelerated growth in the People's Republic of China has heavily influenced this revision, as have upgrades to the growth forecasts of the larger South Asian economies.

Growth will likely stay robust in 2007 at 7.1%, easing a little from this year as industrial-country demand slows.

A key message of the Update is that, to contain future threats to growth, developing Asia should make the necessary adjustments now while domestic and external conditions are favorable.

The Update discusses trade issues that may have an impact on developing Asia over the longer term. It also presents a theme chapter on the region's rising influence in world commodity markets. This chapter describes recent trends and sets them in a longer historical perspective, looking ahead to the possible effects on commodity prices of continued fast growth in the region.

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Contents

Prelims [ PDF: 123KB | 4 pages ]

Part 1: Developing Asia and the world [ PDF: 1,986KB | 59 pages ]

Overview
[ PDF: 554KB | 9 pages ]
Prospects for developing Asia, 2006 and 2007
[ PDF: 398KB | 7 pages ]
Prospects for the world economy, 2006 and 2007
[ PDF: 411KB | 5 pages ]
Subregional summaries
[ PDF: 527KB | 17 pages ]
Suspension of Doha talks and emerging trade issues
[ PDF: 543KB | 21 pages ]

Part 2: Economic trends and prospects in developing Asia

Bangladesh
[ PDF: 260KB | 4 pages ]
People's Republic of China
[ PDF: 278KB | 5 pages ]
India
[ PDF: 364KB | 6 pages ]
Indonesia
[ PDF: 235KB | 4 pages ]
Malaysia
[ PDF: 195KB | 3 pages ]
Pakistan
[ PDF: 270KB | 5 pages ]
Philippines
[ PDF: 370KB | 4 pages ]
Thailand
[ PDF: 341KB | 3 pages ]
Viet Nam
[ PDF: 267KB | 4 pages ]

Part 3: Developing Asia's imprint on global commodity markets [ PDF: 833KB | 20 pages ]

Introduction
Commodity price drivers
Commodity prices: Short and long views
Developing Asia’s imprint on global commodity markets
The outlook for commodity demand, trade, and prices to 2015
Conclusions

Appendix [ PDF: 212KB | 3 pages ]

Statistical appendix

Statistical notes and tables
[ PDF: 531KB | 5 pages ]
ADO forecasting performance for GDP growth and inflation [ PDF: 428KB | 8 pages ]


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