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p. 6 of 57 BACK | NEXT
I. The Changing Environment
Economic Transformation
State of the Environment in the Region
Land and Forests
Water Resources
>>Air Quality
Urban Population
Counting the Toll
Looking Ahead
II. Driving Forces of Change
III. Options and Opportunities
IV. Toward Policy Integration
V. Call to Action
Asian Environment Outlook 2001 : I. The Changing Environment : State of the Environment in the Region

Air Quality

Air pollution levels in the region’s most populated cities are among the highest in the world and climbing, causing serious human health impacts (see Box 1-4). Unlike the effects of water pollution, which are borne mainly by the poor, no resident of any major city in the region is safe from the effects of air pollution. However, the poor are disproportionately exposed to air pollution, living along roads and in industrial areas, thus suffering the highest concentration of air pollutants almost constantly.

Box 1-4. Urban Air Quality: Dark Skies

The air in Asia’s cities is among the most polluted in the world. The levels of ambient particulates—smoke particles and dust, which cause respiratory disease—are generally twice the world average and more than five times as high as in industrial countries and Latin America. Throughout Asia, lead emissions from vehicles are also well above safe levels. Ambient levels of sulfur dioxide—an important cross-border pollutant that contributes to acid rain, which in turn damages crops and eats away at synthetic structures—are 50 percent higher in Asia than in either Africa or Latin America. They are, however, still only one third of the level in industrial countries.

Levels of air pollution substantially exceed the international standards for air quality set by the World Health Organization (WHO). Ten of Asia’s 11 large cities exceed WHO guidelines for particulate matter by a factor of at least three, four exceed acceptable lead levels, and three exceed acceptable ozone and sulfur dioxide levels. Among the 41 cities ranked by the total range and average level of particulate pollution, 13 of the dirtiest 15 were in Asia.

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Source: ADB 1997

The combustion of fossil fuels is the largest source of air pollution in urban areas. In the vast majority of Asian cities, transportation is the major source of pollution. The number of cars in Asia is growing exponentially. In Delhi and Manila, for example, the number of cars has doubled every 7 years (ADB 1999).

Wood fuels and low quality coal pose a number of environmental and human health problems. Indoor air pollution from the smoke of burning wood fuels is one of the largest environmental risk factors for ill health of any kind (see Box 1-5). Developing countries consume about 77 percent of the world’s supply of wood fuels. Although, wood fuels account for 7 percent of the world’s energy supply, Asia is by far the biggest consumer of wood fuels, accounting for nearly 44 percent of global consumption (FAO 2000). WHO estimates that 1.5 billion people live in unhealthy air. Four million to five million child deaths are attributed to acute respiratory infection each year. Studies in India, Nepal, and Papua New Guinea show that non-smoking women who have cooked on biomass stoves for many years exhibit a high prevalence of chronic lung diseases (such as asthma and chronic bronchitis). These studies also revealed a 50 percent increase in stillbirths in women exposed to indoor smoke during pregnancy in Western India (World Bank 2000).

Box 1-5. Health Impacts of Biofuels Consumption

Indoor air pollution results from household use of biofuels. Burning wood fuel releases carbon monoxide, nitrogen oxides, benzene, formaldehyde, aromatics, and particulate matter. Particulate concentrations often exceed 10-100 times the health standard in the United States. Prolonged exposure to these substances is a major health issue in many DMCs.

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Souce: Kammen 1995

The swift expansion of commercial energy use in many countries has increased the reliance on energy imports, particularly crude oil. Only four countries in Asia are energy self-sufficient — Brunei, Indonesia, Malaysia, and Viet Nam. All these nations are major oil exporters. Hong Kong, China; Japan; Republic of Korea; Philippines; PRC; and Singapore all rely on imports for more than half of their commercial energy supply.

Energy use is increasing rapidly in the region (see Box 1-6) and is expected to double again over the next 20 years, from 84.5 quadrillion British thermal units (Btu) in 2000 to 177.9 quadrillion Btu in 2020 (U.S. Department of Energy 1999). Asia already consumes one-third of the world’s commercial fuels and a much greater share of traditional fuels. Asia holds one-third of the world’s coal reserves and relies on coal for about 40 percent of its commercial energy. Per capita use of commercial energy more than doubled during the past two decades. Electrification is also increasing at an average annual rate of 16 percent (Cleveland 2001).

Box 1-6. Increase in Energy Consumption

Driven by the rapid expansion of Asian economies, commercial energy use in Asia grew to an average annual rate of 5.9 percent from 1980 to 1998. This rate of growth is significantly faster than the rates for the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) nations (0.9 percent) and the world (1.8 percent) over the same period.

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Source: Cleveland 2001

A heavy dependence on fossil fuels in the region is accompanied by substantial air pollution and escalating greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions (see Box 1-7). Another significant contributor to air pollution is the effects of aerosols on the ozone layer. A recent study in India is determining the impacts of the accumulation of aerosol or “brown cloud” to the atmosphere. Emissions of sulfur dioxide in the PRC will double over the next 20 years. The resulting acid deposition could cause widespread degradation of aquatic and terrestrial ecosystems in large sections of southern and eastern PRC, northern and eastern India, the Korean peninsula, and northern and central Thailand.

Box 1-7. RAINS-Asia Model Forecast

The RAINS-Asia model developed at International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), forecasts a grim scenario for the region. Most scenarios of energy use in Asia include a continued reliance on the abundant coal resources in the region. The RAINS model forecasts a very significant increase in the emission of oxides of nitrogen and sulfur by 2020. As a result, the breach of critical acid deposition thresholds will increase. If this scenario materializes, the impacts on ecosystems and human health will far outstrip the impacts to date.

The impacts of air pollution and its contribution to climate change are not limited by regional or country boundaries. These impacts are of global concern because for the first time in history, human actions are on a scale that threatens global life support systems (see Box 1-8).

Box 1-8. Global Environmental Impacts

The most significant global problems are climate change, human inputs to the nitrogen cycle, the depletion of stratospheric ozone, the transnational movement of toxic substances, the loss of biodiversity, and ocean degradation. Countries in the Asia and Pacific region contribute to global environmental problems and in turn are among the most vulnerable to their effects.

The most serious global concern is climate change. The global average surface temperature of the earth has risen by approximately 0.6 o C since the late 19 th century. The atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide (CO2) has increased by 31 percent since 1750. There is a growing scientific consensus that human activity has made a discernible contribution to this change. Various activities release greenhouse gases (GHG) such as (CO2) , methane, chlorofluorocarbons (CFC), and nitrous oxide, which trap heat energy released by the earth. The globally averaged surface temperature is projected to increase by 1.4 to 5.8 o C by 2100.

Much of the increase in atmospheric GHG concentrations stems from historic fossil fuel use in industrial nations. About three quarters of the anthropogenic emissions of (CO2) during the past 20 years are due to fossil fuel burning. The United States is the largest emitter of GHGs in the world, accounting for about 19 percent of total emissions, but Asia plays an important and growing role in climate change. Nations in the region contribute 38 percent of global (CO2) emissions from commercial energy use. Asia’s heavy dependence on carbon-intensive fuels such as coal and oil has produced an annual rate of growth in (CO2) emissions that was twice the average world rate of 2.6 percent per year from 1975 to 1995. Industrial release of (CO2) grew 60 percent faster in Asia than the rest of the world over the last few decades. However, (CO2) emissions per capita are low, little more than half the world average and barely more than 10 percent of the level in North America in 1995.

Two global issues are related to the movement of toxic and hazardous substances. The first is the transboundary transportation of these substances. More than 400 million tons of hazardous wastes are generated every year, and a significant portion is transported across national borders. Developing countries frequently lack the technical knowledge and equipment for safely managing and treating hazardous wastes. They are concerned about their use as dumping grounds for wastes that other countries export because of higher domestic costs or regulatory control. Developing countries are also concerned about the potential health risks posed by imported hazardous wastes that are recycled into new products. The second global issue relates to longrange, airborne persistent organic pollutants (POP). POPs cause serious health effects in humans and wildlife, especially in the Arctic region because they tend to migrate north and south from tropical regions toward the poles.

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Sources: US EPA 1997; ADB 1997



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