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I. The Changing Environment
Economic Transformation
State of the Environment in the Region
>> Counting the Toll
Looking Ahead
II. Driving Forces of Change
III. Options and Opportunities
IV. Toward Policy Integration
V. Call to Action
Asian Environment Outlook 2001 : I. The Changing Environment

Counting the Toll

People in the Asia and Pacific region have paid a heavy toll for the degradation of the region’s natural environment, a cost measured in human health and economic terms. Natural resource degradation and pollution have far-reaching impacts on the health and welfare of the poor (Qadri 2001). The number of people killed or harmed by pollution is so large and the numbers have been repeated so often that many are anaesthesized by the magnitude of the problem. Suffice it to say that pollution-related health problems in the region are one of the world’s most serious public health problems, one truly worthy of the cliché “crisis” (see Box 1-11).

Box 1-11. A Look at the Statistics

According to WHO, dirty water and poor sanitation cause more than 500,000 infant deaths a year in the region, as well as a huge burden of illness and disability. In 1990, the region accounted for about 40 percent of the total global diarrhea episodes in children under five years of age. In Southeast Asia alone, diarrhea-related diseases killed more than 1 million people in 1999, nearly half of all deaths from such cases in the world. Most of the fatalities resulted from exposure to contaminated water and poor sanitation. Roughly two-thirds of the population of South Asia lack access to adequate systems of sanitation.

Recent major studies confirm the damaging effects of air pollution to human health. These effects include premature death, as well as increases in the incidence of chronic heart and lung diseases. A World Bank study in 1997 illustrates the positive significant relationship between particulate pollution and daily nontraumatic deaths, as well as deaths from certain causes (respiratory and cardiovascular problems) and for certain age groups. In Delhi, where the study was conducted, it was projected that a 100 micrograms per cubic meter increase in total suspended particulates (TSP) would result in a loss of about 51,403 life years. This is equivalent to about 1,385 lives in a year, distributed among different age groups. During the study period (between 1991-1994), the average TSP level in Delhi was 378 micrograms per cubic meter — approximately 5 times the WHO annual average standard. Furthermore, TSP levels in Delhi during the period exceeded the WHO 24-hour standard on 97 percent of all days on which readings were taken.

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Sources: WHO 1992; UNDP 1999; World Bank 1997

Deteriorating environmental quality is a leading contributor to poverty in the Asia and Pacific region. Inadequate health conditions caused by poor sanitation, drainage and air quality undermine the ability of the region’s poor to pursue economic opportunities. Illness increases family costs and reduces family incomes. Chronic illness in children inhibits child development and education, and can create life-long vocational problems. The lack of infrastructure for water, waste management and transport in poor communities increases time dedicated by residents to these basic needs and reduces their economic productivity. Floods, smog, and traffic congestion reduce the productivity of entire urban and regional economies.

Urban air pollution exacts a heavy toll on human health and the quality of urban life. Fatalities in Bangladesh, India, Indonesia, and Nepal account for about 40 percent of the global mortality in young children caused by pneumonia (WHO 1993). Air pollution in South Asian cities causes nearly 100,000 premature deaths per year and over 1 billion work days of lost or reduced productivity. The PRC’s two largest cities, Beijing and Shanghai, regularly exceed emissions for multiple pollutants by double the safe amount recommended by WHO. Levels of smoke and dust, major causes of respiratory diseases, are frequently measured in PRC cities at levels as high as twice the world average. These levels are as much as five times higher than the norm in most European and North American urban areas. In the PRC’s 11 largest cities, smoke and small particles from burning coal are thought to be the primary cause of more than 50,000 premature deaths and 400,000 new cases of chronic respiratory illness every year. In the city of Shenyang, for example, 17 percent of deaths are attributed to the effects of air pollution (UNDP 2000a). Smoke and dust in large cities and in the region are a major cause of respiratory diseases (see Box 1-12). Smoke and dust in large cities are generally twice the world average and more than five times as high as in Latin America (ADB 1997).

Box 1-12. Health Aspects of Haze

According to the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), the haze of 1997 from forest fires in Indonesia cost the people of Southeast Asia $1.4 billion, mostly in short-term health costs. More than 40,000 persons were hospitalized for respiratory and other haze-related ailments. The long-term impacts on health of exposed children and the elderly remain to be determined. ADB estimates that a total of 757 million tons of (CO2) were produced during the 1997 and 1998 fires. The total cost of the carbon released into the atmosphere (based on $7 per metric ton) was calculated to be $1.446 billion. This figure is conservative. Other estimates have put the amount of (CO2) produced at 3.7 billion tons, or nearly five times the level reported by the ADB.

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Sources: UNDP 1999; ADB 1999

The economic costs of depletion and degradation of ecosystem services undoubtedly are as severe as the direct health impacts, but because they are more difficult to integrate into systems of national accounts, there have been few attempts to quantify these environmental costs in the Asia and Pacific region. These costs include the depletion of subsoil assets (such as minerals and fossil fuels), the effects of soil erosion on agricultural productivity, and a few of the health effects from air and water pollution. Environmental degradation has economic as well as noneconomic costs. These costs manifest in several forms: adverse impacts on human health, loss of productivity, and lower overall well-being (see Box 1-13). In Asia, estimates of economic costs of environmental degradation range from 1-9 percent of a country’s gross national product (GNP), depending on the country and the impacts included in the estimates (ADB 1997). In the PRC, the overall cost of damage to agriculture, production, and natural resources from air and water pollution is estimated to exceed 8 percent of the GDP (World Bank 1997). Noneconomic costs that affect welfare, but not GNP, are even larger, but are often difficult to value (ADB 1997). The GNP estimates should be viewed as rock-bottom minimum estimates of the value of depletion because they are dominated by oil reserves that are easy to measure and because they exclude the vast array of ecosystem services essential to life. More than anything, the estimates reveal our ignorance and the need for wholesale new approaches for collecting, organizing, and synthesizing environmental data.

Box 1-13. Costs of Environmental Degradation in Asia

Studies in the region have indicated partial estimates of the economic costs of environmental degradation in selected economies at different times.

  • In PRC, for example, Smil (1996) estimated that pro-ductivity losses caused by soil erosion, deforestation, and land degradation; water shortage; and destruc-tion of wetlands have amounted to between $13.9 billion and $26.6 billion, equivalent to 3.8 to 7.3 per-cent of its 1990 GNP.

  • In Jakarta, Indonesia, studies of Ostro (1994) and DeShazo (1996) estimated the annual cost to have reached $2.16 billion (equivalent to 2 percent of GNP) from the health effects of particulates and lead that have exceeded levels of WHO standards.

  • A study by O’Connor (1994) on the effects of the same pollutants in Thailand revealed an annual loss of $1.6 billion, representing 2 percent of GNP.

  • In Pakistan, the health impacts of air and water pollu-tion and productivity losses from deforestation and soil erosion were estimated at $1.71 billion, or 3.3 percent of GNP, in the early 1990s.

  • The result of a 1993 World Bank Study in the Philip-pines showed that health and productivity losses from water and air pollution around Manila in the early 1990s amounted to between $335 million and $410 million, or 0.8 to 1 percent of GNP.

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Source: ADB 2000d

Some of the most interesting estimates of the economic values of ecosystem services in Asia are related to coastal resources (Cesar 1996) (see Box 1-14). For example, 1 square kilometer (km2) of sustainably managed coral reefs can support the annual food requirements of 2,500 people. Economic values can be divided into use values — direct (goods) and indirect (services) use, and non-use values — option value (future use), bequest value (generational use), and existence value (preservation and knowledge) (White and Cruz-Trinidad 1998). Various environmental economic techniques have been developed to estimate these when standard cost-benefit analyses prove inadequate.

Box 1-14. The High Cost of Losing Ecosystems

Short-term benefits to individuals from destroying coral reefs are high: $33,000 per km2 for poison fishing; $15,000 per km2 for blast fishing; and $121,000 to $430,000 per km2 for coral mining. However, societal costs from the loss of ecosystem services are even higher: $34,000 to $306,000 per km2 from blast fishing in Indonesia, depending on the tourism value of the area; up to $6.6 million per km2 for coral mining in Sri Lanka; and $40 million to $160 million for complete replacement of coastal protection functions. Even a relatively degraded coral reef and mangrove complex at Olango Island in the Philippines has annual net revenues of $38,000 to $63,000 per km2 , and an investment of less than $100,000 per year would increase revenues from fisheries and tourism by $1.4 million per year. Although only 5 percent of the Philippines’ 27,000 km2 of reef is in excellent condition, coral reefs contribute at least $1.35 billion annually to the economy.

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Sources: Cesar 1996; White and Cruz-Trinidad 1998



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