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I. Current Development Trends and Issues
II. The Government's Development Strategy
III. ADB's Development Experience
IV. ADB's Strategy
V. ADB's Assistance Program
VI. Risks and Performance Monitoring and Evaluation
A. Risks
>> B. Monitoring Process and Plan
Country Strategy and Program 2006-2009 (Draft for Consultation): Indonesia : VI. Risks and Performance Monitoring and Evaluation

B. Monitoring Process and Plan

127. This CSP signals ADB’s intention to manage its activities more proactively, to increase development effectiveness and achieve sustainable development results. It will contribute to specific goals set in the RPJM, with specific goals, targets and process indicators. A CSP results framework has been prepared to serve as a management tool for delivery of results (Table 5). Given the complexity of the country context, the emphasis is on a limited number of process indicators to measure progress towards the ultimate goals and targets. Specifically, the results framework will assist in (i) monitoring the progress made during CSP implementation, supplemented by TA and loan review missions; (ii) providing an overall framework for the design of new projects; (iii) regularly updating and adjusting the assistance program to ensure that ADB’s contribution to the desired outcomes remains valid; and (iv) evaluating the impact of the CSP. The results framework also serves to link ongoing operations to indicators of key expected outcomes for update during the CSP review, and the annual portfolio reviews. The results framework may be periodically updated to ensure its continued relevance, in line with changes in the development setting and the management of the ongoing portfolio. Individual interventions will be closely aligned with the CSP outcomes. Project and program monitoring frameworks will be linked, through sector roadmaps, to the delivery of the desired CSP outcomes.

128. Within the Government, Bappenas is responsible for monitoring of the implementation of the RPJM, as well as for the coordination of international development assistance, and relies for the information on regular monitoring reports provided by the executing agencies as well as by the donor agencies. The monitoring of the RPJM is being strengthened with the introduction of annual work plans, their linkage to an outcome-based budget, and the gradual introduction of a medium-term expenditure framework. In this context, the development of a results framework for the next five year plan (2010-2014), would be highly beneficial and allow for close monitoring of progress. ADB will provide TA to the Government to help establish the consultative processes for such a framework, and support the development of the results framework for the next plan. The statistical systems in place in Indonesia are generally robust and will allow for solid monitoring of RPJM progress. The Central Bureau of Statistics regularly publishes survey data that allow for a detailed tracking of MDG-related outcomes, as well as those related to economic growth and job creation. Measures of corruption are regularly published by international NGOs. ADB, WB, USAID and GTZ are working on a measurement system to regularly evaluate the performance of local governments.

129. CSP monitoring and evaluation will follow the indicators included in the results framework and the roadmaps. In designing the roadmaps and the results framework, progress indicators have been selected so they can be realistically measured without posing any additional burden. The development of the CSP has been used to initiate discussions with the Government on results-orientation as a management tool. This is in line with the Government’s introduction of an output budgeting system. Given the size and scope of the challenge, continued work to further results-orientation will be needed during the CSP period. Appendix 3 provides an assessment of the Government’s current capacity to manage for results. The Government and ADB will jointly evaluate mid-term progress, as well as achievements at the end of the CSP period. Results indicators are thought to be achievable within the RPJM timeframe, as well as the CSP intermediate indicators. The outcomes of the mid-term and final evaluation of the CSP outcomes will be shared with the other donor partners and civil society.

Table 5: Country Strategy and Program Results Framework (2006-2009)
Government’s Medium Term Development Agenda (RPJM)
Asian Development Bank Strategic Focus
Direction of Interventions
Strategic Goals Key Constraints CSP Outcomes Tracking Indicators
  • Higher economic growth through greater investments including enhanced infrastructure provision
  • Low investments in infrastructure
  • Low private sector participation in infrastructure development due to adverse investment climate
  • Weak legal and regulatory environment
  • Inadequate land acquisition mechanisms in place
  • A. Infrastructure and Infrastructure Services

  • Strengthened legal and regulatory framework for private sector participation in infrastructure developmentinfrastructure development
  • Accelerated private sector participation
  • Long-term financing mechanisms for infrastructure financing under development
  • At least 3 regulatory bodies made fully independent by 2009
  • At least 20% of private sector financing provided by domestic financial institutions by 2009
  • 10 PPP infrastructure projects for which bidding completed by 2008
  • Annual Investments in infrastructure at least 7% of GDP by 2009
  • Private sector mobilization of 40%- 50% of infrastructure investments by 2009
  • Program lending:

  • Infrastructure sector reforms
  • Financial sector reforms
  • State-owned enterprise reforms
  • Investments:

  • Non-recourse lending to SOEs
  • Sovereign and nonrecourse lending for PPPs
  • Sovereign lending for transport and energy projects
  • Infrastructure financing facility
  • Capacity development in project preparation
  • Lack of basic infrastructure in remote areas
  • Targeted provision of basic infrastructure and support services to communities
  • Number of communities receiving basic infrastructure support more than 2000 by 2009
  • Greater domestic resource mobilization to support growth
  • Inefficient intermediation and allocation
  • Limited range and financial instruments
  • Weak enforcement of the legal and regulatory environment
  • Weak risk management in financial institutions
  • B. Financial Sector Deepening

  • Long-term financing options strengthened
  • Legal and regulatory environment strengthened and improved enforcement
  • Long term investment options increased
  • More efficient financial sector intermediation
  • Role of the non-bank sector in financial intermediation increased
  • Capacity of financial sector to provide long term financing enhanced
  • Increase in the size of the local bond market 30% by 2009
  • Enhanced capacity among regulators to strengthen the regulatory environment
  • Number of institutional investors providing long term financing increased by 20% in 2009
  • Increased competition in rural and microfinance markets following consolidation of BPRs leading to a decrease of 2 percentage points in borrowing costs, by 2009
  • ADB successfully issued 3 local currency bonds by 2009
  • Program Lending

  • Financial Sector Policy Reforms
  • Project Lending

  • Non-sovereign loans to SOE, municipal entities, financial intermediaries incl microfinance
  • Issuance of local currency bonds
  • Pillar II: Increasing the Welfare of the People
  • Unequal financing of the regions
  • Lack of capacity at the local level
  • Local governments’ investment focus on urban investments
  • Fragile districts throughout the country
  • A. Decentralization

  • Financing of local government investments secured on a sustainable basis
  • Improved capacity for fiscal accountability at the local levels
  • Intergovernmental fiscal relations clarified
  • Functional assignments at all levels of government established
  • Central government financing of local government based on needs
  • Clear local government fiscal accountability framework established
  • Investments in social infrastructure in accelerated
  • Strengthened regional government capacities
  • Increase in regional development spending by 10% annually up to 2009
  • Improvement in quality of and consistency of local government financial reporting
  • Program lending

  • Local Government Financing and Governance Reforms
  • Investments

  • Capacity Development
  • B. MDG Acceleration

  • Pro-poor planning and budgeting at the local levels improved
  • Public expenditures at local levels better aligned with local poverty reduction strategies
  • Systems of administered prices and subsidies improved
  • Health and education spending at least 3% of GDP by 2009
  • Program loans

  • MDG Acceleration
  • Investments

  • Water Supply and Sanitation
  • Integrated Settlements
  • Neighborhood Upgrading II
  • Rural infrastructure
  • Community Water Supply and Health II
  • Community and Local Government Support II
  • Natural Resources Management done on a more sustainable basis, with an economic return for the poor
  • Incidence of pollution reduced
  • Inadequate natural resources management capacity at national and local levels
  • Overlapping mandates/functions of Government agencies
  • Low awareness among Government, public and resource users on sustainable resource management
  • Increased pressure on natural resources for livelihoods
  • Lack of integrated water management in a basin context
  • Weak pollution control
  • Inadequate public-private investment for air quality improvement
  • C. Environment and Natural Resources Management

  • Improved management of water resources
  • Improved coastal and marine resources management
  • Creation of livelihoods/ economic opportunities
  • Well functioning community based management
  • Adherence to principles of integrated coastal resources management
  • Well managed coastal and marine protected areas
  • Implementation strategy on air quality improvement strengthened
  • Investment in air quality improvement initiated
  • Air quality management capacity of participating city governments built.
  • Compliance of national ambient air quality standards at least 340 days in a year latest by 2015.
  • Extent of irrigation schemes
  • Better water supply
  • Reduced flood and drought risks
  • 6000 hectares of coral reef rehabilitated by 2009
  • 700 hectares of marine protected areas sustainably managed by 2009
  • 30% increase in aquaculture production in 6 districts by 2009.
  • Increase of natural gas utilization in public transport and industry sector at least 5% in selected cities in 2009
  • Unleaded gasoline with sulfur content of 500 ppm and diesel fuel with sulfur content of 500 ppm available nationwide by 2007
  • Reduction of air emissions from motor vehicles by 50% in 2020 vs the level of emissions in 2007 in participating cities
  • Reduction of air pollution from industrial activities by 50% in 2020 vs that in 2007.
  • Investments

  • Water resources management
  • Flood protection
  • Coastal resources management
  • Investment and Program loans

  • Urban Air Quality
  • Cross Cutting Thematic Area: Public Sector Governance

  • Accelerated economic growth through improved investments and better public sector management
  • Poorly skilled workforce in the public sector performing poorly; lack of accountability and performance standards and measurements
  • Corruption systemic in the public sector
  • Improved and measured performance in key sectors
  • Strengthened anticorruption mechanisms and institutions
  • Improved interaction between levels of government
  • Improved public sector performance
  • Reduced corruption
  • Relationship of DAK to DAU transfer increased to 30/70 by 2009
  • Strengthened prevention capacity of KPK
  • All Government accounts transferred to a Treasury Single Account
  • An improvement in Indonesia’s ranking in Transparency International’s international ranking of corruption perception of at least 15 steps
  • Program lending:

  • Local government Financing and Governance Reforms
  • State Audit Reform Sector Program
  • Retrenchment and Early Retirement Schemes as part of civil service reform
  • Development Policy Support program
  • Others:

  • Strengthening the prevention capacity of KPK
  • Continued procurement reform


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