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Country Strategy and Program Update 2002-2004: Vanuatu
V. Country Performance and Lending LevelsA. Lending Level Proposed38. Vanuatu's external debt servicing, using the standard measure, is only 1.3 percent of exports of goods and services, which is very low by international standards. Therefore, debt-service capacity will not affect future borrowing. However, the Government believes that annual debt service costs of no more than 8 percent of domestic revenue and external public debt of no more than 40 percent of GDP, which currently remains at around 25 percent, are prudent. The Government set the target for annual external borrowing at Vt700 million (around $5 million) or 2 percent of the annual budget. Considering the constraints in revenue and expenditures, such a borrowing target appears prudent. The ADB TA for Strengthening of Development Policies20 will independently assess the Government's borrowing capacity. The Government is currently setting priorities for investment projects over the next 2-3 years, during which time ADB will remain a major lending agency together with the World Bank, the European Investment Bank (EIB), and the Agence Francaise de Developpement (AFD). 39. The country's performance during the CRP's implementation has been mixed. Institutional weaknesses were mainly due to poor absorptive capacity and lack of commitment and direction, particularly in 2000. Based on these, a "low case" lending level for 2002-2004 would be $6 million, and a "base case" lending level, $10 million. No "high case" is proposed considering the Government's absorptive capacity. It is the Government's view that ADB should maintain its proposed lending level at around $10 million during 2002-2004. (Preliminary performance-based lending triggers and the proposed loan and TA program for Vanuatu are in Appendix 4 and 5 respectively.) B. Loan Program40. To help improve the outer islands' accessibility, national infrastructure management, and rural banking, the Government is requesting a loan of $5 million-6 million for the outer islands infrastructure development project for 2002. The loan targets improving not only physical transport assets, but also institutional capacity for transport infrastructure management at the central and provincial levels. The Government also requested a loan of $2 million for the rural financial services project for 2003. The project will help address the lack of banking services outside Port Vila and Luganville, particularly for the agriculture sector and small businesses. To help bring down unemployment among young people by providing them with technical and vocational skills, the Government is proposing a loan of $2 million for technical vocational education in 2004. The Government is also requesting a loan for urban sanitation and public health or agriculture development around 2005 (Appendix 5). C. Technical Assistance and Economic and Sector Work Program41. The TA and economic and sector work program for 2001-2003 will focus on sustaining the reform process, enhancing governance and service delivery, and implementing economic and sector policies in key sectors. Project preparatory TAs are also proposed. A summary of the economic and sector work program is in Appendix 6. D. Summary of Changes42. In 2001, the changes from the previous Country Assistance Plan are as follows:
43. Changes in 2002 are the following:
44. Changes in 2003 are the following:
45. Change in 2004 is the following:
46. Project selection briefs and TA concept papers are in Appendix 7 and 8 respectively. ____________________
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