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I. Introduction
II. Background
III. The Economic Rationale of A Project
IV. Macroeconomic and Sectoral Context
V. An Integrated Approach To Economic Analysis
VI. Identification and Quantification of Costs and Benefits
VII. Valuation of Economic Costs and Benefits
VIII. Large Projects, Linkages, and National Affordability
IX. Least-Cost and Cost-Effective Analysis
X. Investment Criteria: Economic Viability
XI. Discount Rate
XII. Uncertainty: Sensitivity and Risk Analysis
XIII. Sustainability of Project Effects
XIV. Distribution of Project Effects
XV. Projects and Policies
XVI. Appendices
Appendix 1: Key Questions For The Economic Analysis of Projects
Appendix 2: Project Economic Rationale: Market and Nonmarket Failures
Appendix 3: The Project Framework
Appendix 4: Identification and Measurement of Consumer Surplus
>> Appendix 5: Treatment of Working Capital
Appendix 6: Depletion Premium
Appendix 7: The Use of Constant Prices In The Economic Analysis of Projects
Appendix 8: General Methodology For Building Up Project Statements
Appendix 9: Economic Evaluation of Project Output and Input
Appendix 10: Economic Price of Traded Goods and Services
Appendix 11: Valuation of Nontraded Outputs and Inputs
Appendix 12: Shadow Wage Rate and The Shadow Water Rate Factor
Appendix 13: The Economic Price of Land
Appendix 14: Treatment of Resettlement Components of Projects
Appendix 15: Calculating Economic Prices At The Domestic Market Price Or World Market Price Levels
Appendix 16: Estimating The Shadow Exchange Rate Factor and The Standard (Or Average) Conversion Factor
Appendix 17: Example of An Economic Rate of Return: An Irrigation Rehabilitation Project
Appendix 18: Effect On Net Foreign Exchange and Budget Flows: An Example
Appendix 19: Least-Cost Analysis and Choosing Between Alternatives
Appendix 20: Estimating The Economic Opportunity Cost of Capital
Appendix 21: The Treatment of Uncertainty In The Economic Analysis of Projects: Sensitivity and Risk Analysis
Appendix 22: User Charges, Cost Recovery, and Demand Management: An Example For Piped Water
Appendix 23: Financial Returns To Project Participants: An Illustration
Appendix 24: Economic Evaluation of Environmental Impacts
Appendix 25: Distribution of Project Effects
Appendix 26: Impact On Poverty Reduction
Appendix 27: Difference Between Economic and Financial Prices
Appendix 28: Use of Economic Prices In Measuring Effective Protection
Appendix 29: Exchange Rate Issues In Project Analysis
XVII. Others
Guidelines for the Economic Analysis of Projects : XVI. Appendices

Appendix 5 : Treatment of Working Capital

1. Stocks of materials and spares need to be available to facilitate the smooth functioning of a project's operations. Stocks of final goods may be held before their sale and distribution. Other materials and inputs will be tied up in partially completed production outputs. For some projects, particularly in agroprocessing or industry, such working capital stocks need to be allowed for in the estimates of initial project investments and included in the project statement at financial and economic prices. They are separate from the annual project costs on operations and maintenance.

2. Several types of projects involve negligible working capital. For example, irrigation and road projects require considerable resources for regular operation and maintenance, including labor. However, they require very small amounts of resources tied up and available as materials and spares. Other projects may require stocks of materials but not outputs, for example, power generation from coal that requires coal stocks at power plants but where the product is not storable.

3. In the economic analysis of projects, the value of working capital is calculated at constant prices. If the level of stocks varies over the year, as for many agriculture-based activities, annual average stock levels are used in the calculations. The project statement for economic analysis should contain a cost row showing annual increases in working capital in early project years. The total stocks held as working capital are released at the end of the project and should be shown as a residual value.

4. For agroprocessing and manufacturing investments, and some other projects, working capital may be an important cost for project assessment and financing. Here a full treatment of working capital is required (see paras. 5, 6, 7, and 8 for an example).

5. The components of working capital are

  • initial stocks of materials equivalent to two months requirement for the following year's production level, valued at shadow prices;
  • final stocks of outputs equivalent to one months sales in the current year, valued at cost in shadow prices; and
  • work in progress based on a production period of 20 days and a working year of 250 days, at the current year's production level, valued in shadow prices.

6. Basic data has been prepared on annual operating costs at 100 percent capacity utilization (Table 1).

Table 1. Annual Financial and Economic Operating Costs

Components Financial Cost Conversiona Factor Economica Cost
Fixed Costs
Labor - Scarce 100.0 1.000 100.0
Nontraded Materials 50.0 1.000 50.0
Total Fixed Cost 150.0   150.0
Variable Costs
Materials - Traded 200.0 1.260 252.0
Utilities - Nontraded 60.0 1.000 60.0
Labor - Surplus 80.0 0.750 60.0
Total Variable Costs 340.0   372.0
Total Operating Costs 490.0   522.0
a Domestic price numeraire (See Appendix 15)

7. Capacity utilization in this sample processing project builds up over three years at utilization rates of 50, 80, and 100 percent, and then is sustained at maximum capacity. The fixed operating costs include administrative labor and nontradable items for office supplies. The variable operating costs include traded materials with an 11 percent import duty, and negligible handling and transport costs; utility services, which are largely sold at full cost price; and operating labor with an opportunity cost of 75 percent of the annual wage level. A shadow exchange rate factor of 1.4 is applied to the nontax element of traded costs.

8. Table 2 illustrates the calculation of each component of working capital within a project with a one-year construction period and a ten-year operation period, on the basis of the assumptions above. The annual change in working capital is summarized in the bottom row. It is this annual change in working capital and the corresponding residual value that is entered into the project statement for economic analysis of projects.

Table 2. Calculation of Changes in Working Capital (Economic Costs)

Years 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Capacity Utilization      50% 80% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Operating Costs
Fixed 21 150 150 150 150 150 150 150 150 150 150
Variable - Materials 21 126 202 252 252 252 252 252 252 252 252
Variable - Utilities   30 48 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60
Variable - Labor   30 48 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60
Total   336 448 522 522 522 522 522 522 522 522
Working Capital
Initial Stocks 21 34 42a 42 42 42 42 42 42 42 0
Change in Initial Stocks   13 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -42
Final Stocks   28 37 44b 44 44 44 44 44 44 0
Change in Final Stocks   28 9 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 -44
Work in Progress   12 20 25c 25 25 25 25 25 25 0
Change in Work in Progress   12 7 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 -25
Change in Working Capital 53 25 11 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -110

a Two months' worth of materials: 252 x 2/12 = 42.

b One months worth of sales at cost: 522 x 2/12 = 44.

a Value of materials for the production period, plus half the additional value of other variable costs added during processing for the production period: [252 + 0.5 (522-252-150] x 20/250 = 25.



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Appendix 4: Identification and Measurement of Consumer Surplus
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Appendix 6: Depletion Premium

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