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Foreword
1. Introduction to the Guidelines
2. User Instructions
3. Preparing and Appraising Investment Project
4. Financial Management of Executing Agencies
4.1. Financial Management Overview
4.2. Institutions and Systems
4.3. Financial Analysis
4.3.1. Introduction to Financial Analysis
>>4.3.2. Financial Analysis Objectives
4.3.3. Linkages with Cost Recovery and Tariffs
4.3.4. Preparing Financial Tables
4.3.5. Determining Fiscal Period Coverage
4.3.6. Forecasting and Financial Projections
4.3.7. Forecasting Assumptions
4.4. Measuring Performance
5. Reporting and Auditing
6. Financial Institutions
7. Knowledge Management
Financial Management and Analysis of Projects : 4. Financial Management of Executing Agencies : 4.3. Financial Analysis

4.3.2. Financial Analysis Objectives

4.3.2.1. Introduction and Objectives

4.3.2.1.1. This section examines the following topics:

  • Financial objectives of a public sector project
  • Financial objectives of a private sector project
  • Using financial analysis to identify achievement indicators (and to generate financial indicators to demonstrate efficiency in the achievement of objectives)
  • Economic objectives.

4.3.2.1.2. The primary objective of financial analysis is to forecast and/or determine the actual financial status and performance of a project and, where appropriate, of the EAs. This is to enable ADB to combine that information with all other pertinent data (technical, economic, social, etc.) to assess the feasibility, viability, and potential economic benefits, of a proposed or continuing lending operation.

4.3.2.1.3. A secondary objective is the provision of Technical Assistance to a borrower and an EA to enable them to make similar assessments for the project and to apply the techniques to other non-ADB investments.

4.3.2.1.4. A tertiary objective is to encourage borrowers and EAs to make any necessary changes to their institutional and financial management systems to facilitate the generation of appropriate data to support good financial analysis.

4.3.2.1.5. The objectives of financial analysis as set out above are intended to measure the achievement of financial objectives of a borrower, the project to be (or being) financed, and its EA.

4.3.2.2. Financial Objectives: Public Sector Project

4.3.2.2.1. Public sector projects are classified as revenue-earning and nonrevenue-earning.

Revenue-earning Projects

4.3.2.2.2. A principal objective of revenue-earning projects is the achieving of financial viability of revenue-earning EAs (REEAs). This has two purposes. First, to enable self-sustainability and to achieve a degree of autonomy in their day-to-day operations to encourage better management. Second, to relieve governments from financial burden associated with the continuous provision of scarce public funds.

4.3.2.2.3. The provision of these latter funds contributes to the scope of the government budget deficit and is, therefore, likely to be inflationary. Increased taxation, borrowing, and/or reduction of other forms of public expenditure may finance them.

4.3.2.2.4. The pursuit of certain financial goals by a REEA can also be seen as a means of stimulating managerial efficiency. If financial viability were to be ignored, the incentive to hold down costs may be weakened, if not removed. Adequate levels of (real, i.e., cash) revenues earned from the sale of their services should enable REEAs to have a satisfactory financial performance. It generally indicates an ability to generate sufficient revenues to cover operation and maintenance costs, renew assets, service debt, pay dividends on equity capital, where appropriate, and finance a reasonable proportion of their capital expenditures from internally generated funds.

4.3.2.2.5. REEAs are sometimes required to generate additional revenue to supplement national resources for investment. Experience in some DMCs, however, suggests that the continuing financial losses made by many REEAs may not make them satisfactory tools for resource mobilization, unless government is willing to enforce the use of effective tariffs and revenue collection.

4.3.2.2.6. Tariffs should permit a level of financial performance that would enable a REEA to operate efficiently and on a continuous basis, provided that the collection of revenues continues to be efficient.

4.3.2.2.7. Financial analysis is used at the design and appraisal stages of a project to define financial performance. Throughout implementation and commissioning, it is used to measure, by use of financial indicators, the EA's performance in delivering the project according to design estimates. Financial analysis is used to measure the operational performance and achievement of financial objectives. The analysis should examine: (i) ongoing operations during project implementation (where these are present), and (ii) the combined performance of ongoing operations and the new project following commissioning throughout the life of the ADB loan.

Nonrevenue-Earning Projects

4.3.2.2.8. A principal objective of nonrevenue-earning projects is the achievement of the financial and economic goals of a project. This has three purposes. One is to enable the project to deliver the forecast benefits at the price(s) estimated at time of design and financial and economic evaluation. A second objective is to achieve a degree of efficiency in the EA's implementation operations to encourage better management of the development of the project. A third objective is to minimize the government's financial cost to reduce as much as possible of the financial burden associated with the continuous provision of scarce public funds.

4.3.2.2.9. As for revenue-earning projects, financial analysis is a key tool in defining and measuring the achievement of financial objectives.

4.3.2.3. Financial Objectives: Private Sector Project

4.3.2.3.1. The financial objectives of a private sector project are similar to those of a public sector revenue-earning project, except that the owners, stakeholders, and management of the enterprise are substituted for the government. Unlike governments that may have access to temporary funds to sustain a financially ailing public utility EA, the owners and management of a private company are quickly judged by market forces as to their financial capability and competence.

4.3.2.3.2. One result could be that project financial failure, either during implementation or during operation, would deter actual and potential investors to the point of withdrawing all financial support. Therefore, effective and efficient use of financial analysis to define and apply the most appropriate performance indicators is imperative. In addition, the continued utility and effectiveness of indicators should be continuously reviewed to ensure that management obtains the most effective information for decision-making throughout implementation and operations.

4.3.2.4. Using Financial Analysis to Identify Achievement Indicators

4.3.2.4.1. The financial performance of a public and private sector EA should normally be measured by the use of at least one indicator selected from the range of the following groups of indicators derived from the financial analysis of a project and its EA: (i) operation; (ii) capital structure, and (iii) liquidity.

4.3.2.4.2. ADB seeks to agree with a borrower on the covenanted use of one or more key indicators. In addition, the borrower/EA should be asked to agree to the use of noncovenanted indicators in periodic financial reporting.

4.3.2.4.3. This means that, if only one indicator from one of the three categories of indicators above would be the subject of a loan covenant, the remaining indicator or indicators from each group above recommended by the financial analyst should be the subject of periodic reporting.

4.3.2.4.4. Additional indicators should be developed whenever necessary to measure specific performance.

4.3.2.5. Economic Objectives

4.3.2.5.1. The efficient allocation of resources is an important consideration in pricing policy, particularly for REEA services. Financial analysis is used to describe the impact of such a policy.

4.3.2.5.2. It is desirable, in DMCs where the alternative is the additional output that could have been generated and which the countries could ill-afford, to give up.

4.3.2.5.3. Economic theory suggests that efficient allocation of resources is achieved when price equals the marginal cost of supplying the service; that is, the increment to the total system cost of producing and delivering an additional unit of output under specified circumstances.

4.3.2.5.4. Some outputs of an REEA's service are often valued highly by a majority of consumers and exceed the cost of supplying it. Other uses are less valuable, and the quantity consumed for these uses will depend on the price charged by the REEA. For an efficient allocation of scarce resources, consumption should be encouraged when its valuation by consumers exceeds the added cost of supply, and discouraged whenever it is not the case.

4.3.2.5.5. This balancing of added benefits with added costs may be achieved by establishing prices equal to the marginal costs of supply and relying on consumers to equalize benefits and costs at the margin. In other words, the cost-benefit analysis is decentralized and each consumer is left to decide what quantity they would like to consume and when.

4.3.2.5.6.. Economic theory also suggests that important divergences between social costs and benefits on the one hand, and market price on the other (due for example to external effects) should be taken into account, and that public enterprise investments should be evaluated in terms of opportunities for investment or consumption foregone elsewhere in the economy.



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4.3.1. Introduction to Financial Analysis
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4.3.3. Linkages with Cost Recovery and Tariffs