Handbook for Integrating Risk Analysis in the Economic Analysis of Projects
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Guidelines, Handbooks, and Manuals
On-line edition: Free of Charge
Hardcopy price: $10.00 ISBN: 971-561-458-2
Pub. Date: 2002
Out of Print
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The Handbook provides guidance on integration of risk analysis in the design and analysis of projects. To illustrate the ease of use of quantitative risk analysis software, the Handbook includes case studies based on actual ADB projects in the agriculture, education, health, and power sectors. It also provides direction on how the analysis of risk can be used to improve the focus on poverty reduction.
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Foreword, Abbreviations and Acronyms [ PDF: 76kb | 6 pages ]
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Chapter 1: Introduction and Background [ PDF: 102kb | 8 pages ]
- Introduction
- Background
- Why Undertake Risk Analysis?
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Chapter 2: Technical Approaches to the Analysis of Risk in Project Economics [ PDF: 241kb | 20 pages ]
- Introduction
- Risk and Uncertainty: A Definition of Terms
- Allowing For Uncertainty
- Modeling Risk Quantitatively
- Technical Issues in Modeling Risk: Two Considerations
- Risk Analysis, Decision-Making, and Welfare
- Summary of Approaches to Risk Analysis
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Chapter 3: A Summary of Development Agency Experience in Applying Risk Analysis [ PDF: 135kb | 17 pages ]
- Introduction
- ADB Experience With Risk Analysis
- World Bank Experience With Risk Analysis
- Other Agency Experience With Risk Analysis
- Risk, and the 'Harberger' Critique of Recent Applied Project
- Economic Analysis
- Summary of Risk Analysis Experience
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Chapter 4: Poverty Reduction Objectives and Risk Analysis [ PDF: 205kb | 9 pages ]
- Introduction
- Planning for the Poor, Vulnerability, and Risk Aversion
- Poverty Reduction Objectives: Implications for Quantitative Risk Analysis
- Poverty Reduction Objectives: Implications for Qualitative Risk Analysis
- Summary
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Chapter 5: Strengthening Risk Analysis in ADB Operations [ PDF: 144kb | 21 pages ]
- Introduction
- Summary of Risk Analysis Techniques: Applications and Limitations
- Strengthening Project Design: Overall Economic Benefits Estimation
- Promoting the Sustainability of Project Effects
- Supporting Poverty Reduction Objectives
- Risk Analysis and Policy-Based Lending
- Sectors and Projects: Some Typical Risk Analysis Situations
- Technical and Resource Considerations (including applying '@RISK')
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Appendixes [ PDF: 1,383kb | 33 pages ]
- Appendix 1: List of Reviewed ADB projects and Other ADB Project Evaluation Documents
- Appendix 2: Sustainable Livelihoods Framework
- Appendix 3: Illustration of Risk Analysis in Project Economic Analysis
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References [ PDF: 75kb | 3 pages ]
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