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Evaluation Study on the Phnom Penh to Ho Chi Minh City Highway Project
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The Project was consistent with ADB’s country strategies for Cambodia and Viet Nam and the respective governments’ policies and development plans. It was also consistent with the GMS program’s aim of enhancing regional connectivity and increasing competitiveness to strengthen cooperation between Cambodia and Viet Nam and economic links among GMS countries. The Project is “highly relevant” in terms of sector, country, and regional demands. Quality at entry of the Project has room for improvement owing to inadequate project preparatory activities.
The main achievements of the Project were improvement of transport efficiency and the construction of border facilities. It was “effective” in improving road transport efficiency at the national level. The quality of project outputs was satisfactory. Road transport movements within the two countries improved substantially. Project effectiveness in Cambodia was constrained by the absence of a bridge at Neak Loeung. The Project was “less effective" in meeting its targeted outcome of enhanced cross-border movements. Despite the road improvements and the reduction in bureaucratic and procedural constraints to cross-border trade, border traffic and trade have not grown as expected. Sub-regional traffic between Cambodia, southern Viet Nam, and Thailand is minimal. Unless the Cross-Border Transport Agreement (CBTA) is implemented at the Bavet–Moc Bai border crossing, full benefits from the regional road will not be achieved. Nevertheless, cross-border trade, using transshipment of cargo, has increased in recent years indicating potential for further growth.
The Project is “less efficient” owing to the low economic internal rate of return at post-evaluation compared to those at appraisal and at project completion. The Project is “less likely” to sustain the project benefits in Cambodia. But it is “likely” to sustain these benefits in Viet Nam. Funds allocated for road maintenance have generally been insufficient for the entire Cambodia road network. The risk of overloading and continued low allocations for routine maintenance has lowered the sustainability in Cambodia. Sustainability in the Viet Nam side benefited from increased allocations from the central budget and the ongoing efforts of the Government as well as the development partners. The latter's assistance has also enabled private sector participation in maintenance activities.
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Overall, the Project is rated “successful.” Its impact was found to be “moderate” in relation to cross-border movements, but it has been “significant” in terms of socioeconomic changes at the local levels. This underlines the conclusion that the Project has provided relatively more national benefits as compared to regional benefits. Apart from the protracted resettlement compensation issue in Cambodia resolved in May 2008, there are no other negative social and environmental issues.
ADB performance is “satisfactory” in both countries. The performance of the Borrower and Executing Agency is “partly satisfactory” for the Cambodia component and “satisfactory" in Viet Nam. There is room for improvement in both ADB and borrower performance in rectifying implementation issues especially those related to inadequate project preparation. Project completion was delayed by 3.5 years due to various factors, i.e., inadequate preparation in terms of physical road design, contractor problems, adverse weather conditions, and addition of new works. Including the additional works is seen as appropriate in light of apparent benefits, e.g., reduced congestion in the Ho Chi Minh City area. The Project witnessed substantial loan savings in both countries owing to lower bid costs for civil contracts. These financed additional works which could have benefited from adequate due diligence at project completion, i.e., to check whether the savings were used efficiently.
Several issues emanate from the Project:
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Team Leader: Narendra Singru, Senior Evaluation Specialist. Email: nsingru@adb.org.