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The nine coral atoll islands of Tuvalu are located in the South Pacific Ocean about half way between Hawaii and Australia. They are scattered across an exclusive economic zone (EEZ) of 900,000 square kilometers. The atolls are narrow and low-lying. Tuvalu's highest point is just three meters above sea level. With a total land area of only 26 square kilometers and a population of 9,600, Tuvalu is a densely populated. About half of the people live on the main island of Funafuti. Nearly all, 96%, of the population is Polynesian, while the remainder is Micronesian.Historical BackgroundIn 1974, ethnic differences within the British colony of the Gilbert and Ellice Islands caused the Polynesians of the Ellice Islands to vote for separation from the Micronesians of the Gilbert Islands. The following year, the Ellice Islands became the separate British colony of Tuvalu. Independence from the United Kingdom was obtained in 1978. Socio-Economic ConditionsTuvalu is an ultra-small atoll economy with a total population of 11,810 (July 2006 est.). The prosperity of the economy was hampered by limited natural resources, few industries, and little export. Subsistence farming and fishing are the main economic activities. Commercial license fee earnings, remittances from overseas workers, official transfers, and income from Tuvalu Trust Fund (TFT) and the Falekaupule Trust Fund (FTF) have provided the country with the main sources of income. However, most recently the windfall revenues from Internet domain name “.TV” and from telecommunication and fishing licensing fees all have declined, causing fiscal and subsequent macroeconomic contraction. Clearly, the public sector is dominant in the macroeconomy. The economic growth rate has slowed down to 1-2% in 2005/2006 after the public sector expansion from 2000 to 2004 subsided; during which time the real GDP was estimated at about 4-5%. By 2002, windfall revenue funded most of the growth that supported the public sector expansion in public construction and public business activities (notably those in transport, communication and finance) which contribute to 39% of GDP, with the remaining growth from the expansion in government ministries which added to another 30% of GDP. Currently, the drop in windfall revenues and existing fiscal deficit has caused the economic growth to decline. In a small open economy, Tuvalu uses Australian dollar as its legal tender, and thus has limited monetary policy instrument. Inflation has been low in the past 5 years, at an average of 3.2% per annum, and is projected to remain within the 2-3% range in the near future. The banking system in Tuvalu is inefficient with a lack of competition and higher risk profile. Therefore, the lending cost is higher than what it is in Australia. The excessive lending in recent years could potentially cause rising debt problem, as reflected by the increasing lending ratio (by the main financial institutions to GDP) from 16% in 1996 to 58% by 2002 to estimated 75% in early 2006. Most of this debt, around 80%, is held by businesses or on a personal basis. Unless these funds are invested in productive areas, debt issue will emerge.
The public sector in Tuvalu is disproportionably large, and it sways the economic growth as well as the income distribution. The fiscal management has not been overly prudent as the previous windfall revenue from 2000-2003 had been immediately spent on infrastructure and the current deficit has been covered by the A$12 million from the Tuvalu Trust Fund (TFT). The problem is that the adjustment from the expenditure side is difficult when the earnings from the revenue side are highly volatile, mainly the windfall revenues including the TFT and FTF payouts during the year of high returns. The government needs to control the public expenditure, including restraining supplementary expenditure and other social spending that lack cost recovery mechanism. The large overly large public sector also points to systematic inefficiency in staffing and in basic infrastructure. Public sector reform and rightsizing could provide a strong impetus to improve both the quality of services and the operating efficiencies, while maintaining healthy fiscal stance and giving room for private sector development.
Few visitors have come to Tuvalu and the few flights to Funafuti are mainly occupied by aid workers and returnees. Subsistence farming and fishing are the primary economic activities. Tuvalu Maritime Training Institute (TMTI) is an important entity that has contributed as much as A$5 million a year in seafarers’ remittance earning. The Tuvaluan worker in the Nauru phosphate mine have been gradually repatriated back to Tuvalu. Most outer islands have seen their populations decrease as people have migrated to the main island of Funafuti. The increasing population density there over the last decade has raised major public health concerns. The income and the development gap between Funafuti and the outer islands has widened over the same period. In 1994 less than one-third of all households were estimated to have incomes below the basic needs poverty line. A decade later, the 2004 Household Income and Expenditure Survey on Funafuti indicated that the extent of poverty had increased substantially. Almost 40% of households were estimated as having incomes below the basic needs poverty line. Many of the newly poor are migrants to Funifuti from the outer islands. Poverty is associated with inadequate access to essential public services and job opportunities, particularly on the outer islands. Country OutlookTuvalu’s small size, its isolation from markets, and its harsh environment are significant constraints to the country’s development. In addition, there is concern about global increases in greenhouse gas emissions and their effect on rising sea levels. Higher sea levels already threaten the country's underground water table. In 2000, the Government appealed to Australia and New Zealand to take in Tuvaluans if rising sea levels should make evacuation of the country necessary. The country is faced with a number of environmental challenges, particularly on Funafuti. Beachhead erosion is occurring because of the use of sand for building materials. Sanitation, solid waste, and land management problems are also impacting Funifuti’s fragile coastal environment. These problems as well as water shortages and lagoon pollution will soon become even more prominent if migration to Funafuti continues at the current rate. Previous interventions in waste management have made an impact, but further work is needed. The Government also needs to embark on measures to improve the quality of life of the outer islands in order to reduce Funifuti-outer island disparities in the level of development and slow outer island population declines. Such measures should emphasize improvements in the education system and creating economic opportunities. |
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