India: Economy | Asian Development Bank

India: Economy

Growth in FY2017 (ending 31 March 2018) is expected to be lower than forecast in the Asian Development Outlook 2017 as a new tax regime poses transitory challenges to firms and as investment by state governments and private investors remain muted. A pickup is envisaged in FY2018, aided by restructured bank balance sheets and efficiency gains from the new tax regime, but growth will again fall short of the April forecast. Stronger agriculture will ease inflation by more than expected in FY2017 and FY2108. Current account projections are unchanged. Read more from Asian Development Outlook 2017 Update


Economic forecasts for South Asian countries

Country 2017f 2018f
Afghanistan 2.5 3.0
Bangladesh 7.2 6.9
Bhutan 6.9 8.0
India 7.0 7.4
Maldives 4.2 4.4
Nepal 6.9 4.7
Pakistan 5.3 5.5
Sri Lanka 4.5 5.0
Average 6.7 7.0
Country 2017f 2018f
Afghanistan 5.5 5.8
Bangladesh 5.4 6.0
Bhutan 4.3 5.4
India 4.0 4.6
Maldives 3.1 2.8
Nepal 4.5 6.5
Pakistan 4.2 4.8
Sri Lanka 7.0 4.0
Average 4.2 4.7
Country 2017f 2018f
Afghanistan 2.2 0.2
Bangladesh –0.6 –1.5
Bhutan –25.5 –22.8
India –1.3 –1.5
Maldives –16.4 –15.2
Nepal –0.4 –2.2
Pakistan –4.0 –4.2
Sri Lanka –3.5 –2.5
Average –1.6 –1.8

f = forecast number.

Source: Asian Development Outlook 2017 Update