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Asian Development Outlook 2003

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ISBN: 0-19-596278-8
ISSN: 0117-0481
Pub. Date: 2003
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This 15th edition of the Asian Development Outlook provides a comprehensive analysis of 41 economies in Asia and the Pacific based on the Asian Development Bank's in-depth knowledge of the region. It also includes a broad diagnosis of macroeconomic conditions and growth prospects for the region in 2003-2004.

Growth in developing Asia and the Pacific generally improved in 2002. Expansionary fiscal and accommodative monetary policies contributed to strengthening aggregate demand in many countries while firmer external markets provided a boost to industrial production. Growth, however, remained below long-term potential in most countries and it was insufficient to substantially raise income and reduce poverty.

The outlook for 2003 is highly vulnerable to the risks of a further weakening in the prospects for industrial countries, volatility in oil prices, and disruptions in tourism and other international markets relating to the conflict in Iraq and the recent outbreak of severe acute respiratory syndrome.

This issue of the Outlook also includes a chapter on what competitiveness--one of today's buzzwords--is and is not. Misconceptions of the nature and role of competitiveness in national economic development can be counterproductive. An understanding that it is firms that compete in an increasingly global market, both at home and abroad, and that the national policy environment can either constrain or improve their efforts, is critical.

The Asian Development Outlook 2003 features:

  • An overview of aggregate trends and medium-term prospects by main subregion in Asia and the Pacific in the context of global economic trends.

  • An overview of recent fiscal policy in Asia and the Pacific

  • Macroeconomic profiles and prospects for 41 economies in the region, including analyses of growth, savings and investment, employment, monetary and fiscal developments, and balance of payments, as well as an analysis of policy issues.

  • Competitiveness issues as they relate to long-term growth prospects in Asia and Pacific region.

  • A statistical appendix detailing historical trends and projections for major economic indicators.

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Contents

Foreword, Acknowledgments, Acronyms and Abbreviations, Definitions [ PDF: 311kb | 14 pages ]

Part 1    Developing Asia and the World [ PDF: 753kb | 34 pages ]

Overview of Economic Trends and Prospects

Overview of Economic Trends in Developing Asia in 2002
Macroeconomic Conditions in 2002
Outlook for Industrial Countries
Developing Asia: Subregional Trends and Prospects
Developing Asia: Risks and Uncertainties

Overview of Fiscal Policy in Developing Asia

Part 2    Economic Trends and Prospects in Developing Asia

East Asia [ PDF: 779kb | 27 pages ]

People's Republic of China Chinese translation
Hong Kong, China
Republic of Korea
Mongolia
Taipei,China

Southeast Asia [ PDF: 812kb | 40 pages ]

Cambodia
Indonesia
Lao People’s Democratic Republic
Malaysia
Myanmar
Philippines
Singapore
Thailand
Viet Nam

South Asia [ PDF: 707kb | 36 pages ]

Afghanistan
Bangladesh
Bhutan
India
Maldives
Nepal
Pakistan
Sri Lanka

Central Asia [ PDF: 523kb | 21 pages ]

Azerbaijan
Kazakhstan
Kyrgyz Republic
Tajikistan
Turkmenistan
Uzbekistan

The Pacific [ PDF: 748kb | 41 pages ]

Cook Islands
Fiji Islands
Kiribati
Republic of the Marshall Islands
Federated States of Micronesia
Nauru
Papua New Guinea
Samoa
Solomon Islands
Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste
Tonga
Tuvalu
Vanuatu

Part 3    Competitiveness in Developing Asia [ PDF: 1,387kb | 68 pages ]

Taking Advantage of Globalization, Technology, and Competition

Drivers of Change: Globalization, Technology, and Competition

Competition and Competitiveness
Drivers of Change
Enhancing Entrepreneurial and Technological Capabilities

National Competitiveness: A Dangerous Obsession?

Aggregate Measures of Competitiveness

Institutions, The State, and The Market: A Partnership for Development

Role of Institutions
Areas of State Responsibility
Areas of Shared Responsibility between the State and the Market

Global Value Chains

Exploiting Global Value Chains for Economic Development: Ten NIE Entry Strategies
Marketing and Technology Upgrading Strategies
Difficulties, Risks, and Threats within Global Value Chains
Summary

Education and Skills

Basic Educational Achievements
Correlating Inputs with Science and Technology Outputs
Science and Engineering Education
Relevance of School and University Education
Summary

Catch-Up Competitiveness: Some Lessons

Catch-Up Competitiveness and Stages of Development
Innovations in Policy and Variety in Industrial Structures
Insights for Other Countries

Conclusions

References

Statistical Appendix [ PDF: 2,558kb | 32 pages ]

Statistical Notes and Tables


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© Asian Development Bank 2003

First published in 2003
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All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, without the prior permission in writing of the Asian Development Bank.

This book was prepared by the staff of the Asian Development Bank, and the analyses and assessments contained herein do not necessarily reflect the views of the Board of Directors or the governments that they represent. The Asian Development Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this publication and accepts no responsibility whatsoever for any consequence for their use. The term “country” does not imply any judgment by the Asian Development Bank as to the legal or other status of any territorial entity.

Published for the Asian Development Bank by Oxford University Press

British Library Cataloguing in Publication Data available

Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication-Data available

ISBN 0-19-596278-8
ISSN 0117-0481


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