India: Advanced Project Preparedness for Poverty Reduction - Updating Load Forecast and Power System Master Plan for Assam

Sovereign Project | 43166-209

Summary

This proposed TA Cluster subproject which would be in the nature of capacity development technical assistance (CDTA) would update the electricity demand forecast and develop a power system master plan for Assam power sector. The master plan will also consider the transmission capacity requirement of the neighboring states in NER. This will be the basis of the investment program for the MFF for Assam power proposed for 2014, and thus facilitate the completion of design, cost estimates and due diligence for project processing.

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Project Name Advanced Project Preparedness for Poverty Reduction - Updating Load Forecast and Power System Master Plan for Assam
Project Number 43166-209
Country India
Project Status Closed
Project Type / Modality of Assistance Technical Assistance
Source of Funding / Amount
Strategic Agendas Inclusive economic growth
Drivers of Change
Sector / Subsector

Energy - Energy sector development and institutional reform

Gender Equity and Mainstreaming
Description This proposed TA Cluster subproject which would be in the nature of capacity development technical assistance (CDTA) would update the electricity demand forecast and develop a power system master plan for Assam power sector. The master plan will also consider the transmission capacity requirement of the neighboring states in NER. This will be the basis of the investment program for the MFF for Assam power proposed for 2014, and thus facilitate the completion of design, cost estimates and due diligence for project processing.
Project Rationale and Linkage to Country/Regional Strategy After 2008, no systematic and comprehensive load forecast and power system master plans have been undertaken in Assam. A comprehensive load forecast and power system master plan to provide a blueprint for development of the power system in Assam is required. The proposed master plan will coordinate the generation, transmission and distribution expansions, and ensure that all proposed capital investments are not ad hoc but are a part of the long-term structured plan that will serve the requirements not only of Assam but also its neighboring states.
Impact Adequate and reliable power supply in Assam
Project Outcome
Description of Outcome Improved capacity of Assam for investment planning in the power sector.
Progress Toward Outcome Updating the load forecast along with the Generation, Transmission and Distribution System Study and Training including a detailed study until 2016-17 and general projection of load growth and its management up to 2020 and has been extended up to 2021-22 coinciding with the end of 13th five year plan submitted by PRDC and presented to GOA.
Implementation Progress
Description of Project Outputs

Electricity demand for Assam up to 2020 forecasted

Power System Development Master Plan (including Generation, Transmission and Distribution) for Assam up to 2020 formulated.

Power system inventories database for Assam prepared

Capacity of power sector agencies in demand forecasting and investment planning developed

Status of Implementation Progress (Outputs, Activities, and Issues)

The consultant, M/S Power Research and Development consultants India (PRDC) has made a presentation of Interim Report on 10 Jul 2013. All senior officials from AEGCL, APDCL, and APGCL including ADB Mission attended the presentation. PRDC has highlighted the bottlenecks in the existing transmission and distribution system of Assam.

PRDC's preliminary study reported that the losses in 33kV network are as high as 8% in all zones. For the demand forecasts, it was agreed to adopt the Aggressive Scenario for planning purposes (aggressive scenario will reflect low and suppress demand). PRDC indicated, additional generation of around 3,500 MW will be required to meet Assam's projected demand of 5,840 MW by 2021-22.

Final report submitted by PRDC and services were completed on 31 Dec 2013.

Geographical Location
Summary of Environmental and Social Aspects
Environmental Aspects
Involuntary Resettlement
Indigenous Peoples
Stakeholder Communication, Participation, and Consultation
During Project Design Consultation was made with ASEB and Government of Assam.
During Project Implementation A task force will be established headed by the Director, Project Management Unit (PMU) ASEB including one member each from Assam Power Department, APGCL, AEGCL and APDCL. The task force will meet monthly to oversee the proposed TA Cluster subproject activities. The Team Leader (Consultant) of the proposed TA cluster subproject will act as a member secretary of the task force.
Responsible ADB Officer Aziz Yusupov
Responsible ADB Department South Asia Department
Responsible ADB Division Energy Division, SARD
Executing Agencies
Department of Power, Government of AssamDispur
Guwahati 781006
Timetable
Concept Clearance -
Fact Finding -
MRM -
Approval 03 Aug 2012
Last Review Mission -
Last PDS Update 31 Mar 2014

TA 8129-IND

Milestones
Approval Signing Date Effectivity Date Closing
Original Revised Actual
03 Aug 2012 29 Jan 2013 29 Jan 2013 31 Mar 2013 31 Mar 2014 -
Financing Plan/TA Utilization Cumulative Disbursements
ADB Cofinancing Counterpart Total Date Amount
Gov Beneficiaries Project Sponsor Others
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 03 Aug 2012 305,353.19

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