Output 1: Scoping and Review/Country Reports
1.1 Final reports for Japan (JAP), Republic of Korea (KOR), Mongolia (MON), and the People's Republic of China (PRC) were completed. The PRC country report was published in Chinese.
Output 2: Analysis of Climate Change
2.1 Output 2 consists of four activities: (i) marginal abatement cost (MAC) curve analysis; (ii) assessment and analysis of future climate change impacts on major sectors at the regional level; (iii) regional modeling of climate change by an integrated assessment model; and (iv) cost and benefit analysis of climate change adaptation cases.
2.2 MAC curves: MAC curves are showing what carbon reduction measures save the most money. MACC curves were produced for JAP, KOR, and PRC by Mizuho in conjunction with National Institute for Environmental Studies (NIES) of Japan. The MACC curves for KOR and PRC were updated. A MAC curve for MON was prepared for the first time. Country reports were combined into final report. First MAC curve results were presented for the 3rd regional consultation meeting, followed by preliminary results during the 4th regional consultation meeting. The work on MAC curves had been completed and was revised based on comments by ADB staff. The work was peer reviewed and was used for the final study.
2.3 Regional modeling of climate change by an integrated assessment model: The integrated assessment tool used is the Page09 model and ADB staff conducted the analysis. For the 3rd regional consultation meeting, a preliminary version was presented in July 2011. Draft final version was presented at the 4th regional consultation meeting in October 2011. Highlights of analysis were presented at the COP17 meeting in Durban in December 2011. The integrated assessment model, however, took longer to finalize due to added complexities by combing 2 integrated assessment models with the adaptation models (coastal, infrastructure, water, and agriculture. The integrated assessment tool was finalized in October 2012.
2.4 Cost and benefit analysis of climate change adaptation cases: Work has been completed on the cost of adaptation in (i) infrastructure, (ii) health, (iii) agriculture; and (iv) water. The findings were incorporated into the TA's full study. The report on water was completed and published. Initial results of this component were be presented at the 4th regional consultation meeting. Draft final inputs were used for the COP17 presentation in Durban.
Output 3: Climate Policy Simulation Tool (CPST)
A concept note on the CPST was prepared. Instead of developing the project's own tool, the project now seeks to use existing tools and to partner with respective institutions. The CPST should be a web-based application allowing for data simulations under this TA. The output should be used as a model for other ADB climate change studies covering other regions outside of East Asia. The concept was presented at the 3rd regional consultation meeting. Progress of work was discussed at the 4th regional consultation meeting. A climate policy simulation tool (CPST), which is based on data generated for the TA, was rudimentary being developed and a beta-version website was presented at the at the East Asia Climate Partnership Forum in Seoul, Republic of Korea (9 March 2012). The project website is being used to disseminate project findings.
Output 4: Summarized Reporting and Dissemination
4.1 Output 4 consists of (i) inception report (completed March 2010); (ii) interim report (completed 12 May 2011); (iii) draft final report (completed and undergoing editing), (iv) Durban COP17 presentation on preliminary findings (completed); (v) TA final report and summary final report completed, published and disseminated in October 2013 with summary powerpoint presentation of results at different venues, i.e., Beijing, Seoul, Tokyo, and Ulaanbaatar were conducted; (vi) presentation of findings at the UNFCC COP-19 in Warsaw, Poland in November 2013. The final report received a special award in ADB as a knowledge product.