Completed in November 2010. The project obtained most of its field data through the regional organization ICWC SIC and was not so much dependent on national commercial datasets. The consultant assessed all the other climate change projects in the region. This project is the most comprehensive modeling effort so far in the region as it employs most modern earth observation systems and five (5) different CC projections of international scientific research institutions (related to IPCC scenarios).
Completed in November 2010. The project obtained most of its field data through the regional organization ICWC SIC and was not so much dependent on nationalcommercial datasets. The consultant assessed all the other climate change projects in the region. This project is the most comprehensive modeling effort so far in the region as it employs most modern earth observation systems and five (5) different CC projections of international scientific research institutions (related to IPCC scenarios).
Completed in March 2012. The output was an essential part of the modeling results and more time was needed to run the model. The modeling results clearly indicate what will be the main natural hazards and water management problems in different parts of the region. Rather substantial reduction of river discharges will take place in summer-autumn season when volumes of mountain glaciers will diminish. Spring time floods will remain similar as today but they may be associated with landslides and mudflows which will be common in the areas of thawing permafrost (result of rising snow-line).
Completed in March 2012. Based on CC scenarios, the project downscaled the projections and produced past and future (-2050) hydrological models for the main rivers in the region dividing the source of water to 4 components (rain, snow melt, glacial melt, base flow).
Completed in September 2011. In all the project countries the trainees learned basics of downscaling and some of them specialized to these methods (and conducted their own downscaling project).
Completed in March 2012. In seminars and other meetings climate change adaptation measures have been discussed together with national, regional and international experts. Most of the solutions requires international planning and agreement (as identified in Helsinki Convention). Risk management products include water deficiency maps and graphs.
Completed in March 2012. The project has produced maps and charts describing well the future problems caused by CC. They predict the occurrence of droughts, water deficiency and floods.
Completed in April 2012 (amended later). The models described the likelihoods for the occurrence of CC induced natural hazards in each river sections separately. The result can be used to assess the requirements for infrastructure designs (such details do not belong to the scope of the project).
Completed in June 2012. The project involves several important organizations which are expected to prepare national and regional strategies considering CC. Earlier project activities have taken place in organizations responsible for data management and technical implementation of modeling. However, among the collaborators and trainees there are experts from e.g. ministries of water resources, environment, agriculture, energy, and natural hazards. They conducted their own projects based on the skills obtained in the regional training course.
Completed in May 2012 (amended later). The project has introduced to the national authorities and experts the results of modeling and the impacts on watersheds management problems. Awareness raising has been conducted at the later stages of the project.
Completed in July 2012. The results of the project will provide firm basis for the planning of the disaster and climate risk- management priorities. The development of project portfolio for appropriate projects to be financed has started (several stakeholder groups will be involved in the planning).
A knowledge product on the outcome of the RETA is in the process of being published to inform relevant government agencies on the results of the modelling and possible adaptation strategies to ensure availability of water resources for the five Central Asian countries.