Climate Change Adaptation Program for the Pacific: Climate Risk Profile for the Cook Islands

Date: December 2005
Country:
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Document Type: Consultant's Reports
Project Number: 36069-012

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Description

Climate Risk Profile for the Cook Islands prepared by John E. Hay and Associates Ltd, New Zealand, under ADB regional technical assistance on Climate Change Adaptation Program for the Pacific.

The likelihood (i.e. probability) components of climate-related risks in the Cook Islands are evaluated, for both present day and future conditions. Changes into the future reflect the influence of global warming. The risks evaluated are extreme rainfall events (both hourly and daily), drought, high sea levels, strong winds and extreme high air temperatures. Tropical cyclone frequencies over the past century are also examined. Some climate-related human health and infrastructure risks are also investigated. Projections of future climate-related risk are based on the output of global climate models, for given emission scenarios and model sensitivity. All the likelihood components of climate-related risk show marked increases as a result of global warming. This Climate Risk Profile for the Cook Islands was prepared under ADB regional technical assistance on Climate Change Adaptation Program for the Pacific.