Saumik Paul, Research Economist | Asian Development Bank

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Saumik Paul, Research Economist

Saumik Paul, Research Economist

Saumik Paul

Joined the Asian Development Bank Institute as a research economist in December 2017.

His research interests include structural transformation, productivity, growth, and land reform. He has more than 10 years of experience in policy-based research on topics related to development, growth, land reform, and conflict. He has published in World Development, Journal of Development Studies, Journal of African Economies, Economics of Transition, and Oxford Development Studies, among others. Prior to joining ADBI, he was an associate professor at the Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University, Japan. He also held positions at various organizations, including the University of Nottingham (Malaysia campus); Osaka University, Japan; and the World Bank, Washington, DC.

His ongoing research projects examine the welfare effects of land reform and the process of industrialization in many Asian countries including India, Indonesia, and Viet Nam; the role of structural transformation in regional growth and convergence; and the role of trade and demand-side factors in structural transformation. He is editing two books on land, displacement, and structural transformation, and has contributed to chapters in several edited book volumes and poverty assessment reports published by the World Bank. He received his PhD in economics from Claremont Graduate University (US), MA in economics from Jawaharlal Nehru University (India), and BA in economics from St. Xavier’s College (India).

The effect of skilled emigration on real exchange rates through the wage channel

Ouyang, A, and S. Paul 2018. Journal of International Money and Finance 89 (2018) 139–153.

Industrialization-Led Displacement and Long-Term Welfare: Evidence from West Bengal

Paul, S. and V. Sarma. 2017. Oxford Development Studies 45 (3): 240–259.

Reversal of Fortune? The Long-term Effect of Conservation-Led Displacement in Nepal

Lam, C., S. Paul, and V. Sarma. 2016. Oxford Development Studies 44 (4): 401–419.

The Effects of the Intensity, Timing and Persistence of Personal History of Mobility on Support for Redistribution in Transition Countries

Dabalen, A., R.A. Parinduri, and S. Paul. 2015. Economics of Transition 23 (3): 565–595.

Estimating the Causal Effects of Conflict on Education in Côte d'Ivoire

Dabalen, A.L. and S. Paul. 2014. Journal of Development Studies 50 (12): 1631-1646.

Effect of Conflict on Dietary Energy Supply: Evidence from Cote d'Ivoire

Dabalen, A.L. and S. Paul. 2014. World Development 58: 143-158.

Disputed Land Rights and Displacement: A Double Whammy on the Poor

Lam, L.M. and S. Paul. 2014. Conservation and Society 12(1): 65-76.

Recovering Comparable Poverty Estimates in Cote d’Ivoire

Dabalen, A.L. and S. Paul. 2013. Journal of Development Studies 49(10): 1412-1426.

Accounting for Heterogeneity in Growth Incidence in Cameroon Using Recentered Influence Function Regression

Essama-Nssah, B., S. Paul, and L. Bassolé. 2013. Journal of African Economies 22(5): 757-795.

Displacement and Erosion of Informal Risk-Sharing? Evidence from Nepal

Lam, L.M. and S. Paul. 2013. World Development 43: 42-55.

Opening the Pandora’s Box? Trade Openness and Informal Sector Growth

Ghosh, A. and S. Paul. 2008. Applied Economics 40(15): 1991-2003.

How Predictable are the FIFA World Cup Football Outcomes? An Empirical Analysis

Paul, S. and R. Mitra. 2008. Applied Economics Letters 15(15): 1171-1176.

“A Framework to Study the Role of Structural Transformation in Productivity Growth and Regional Convergence” with Kyoji Fukao. 2018. In: Saumik Paul edited

Kuznets Beyond Kuznets: Structural Transformation and Income Distribution in the Era of Globalization in Asia

“Structural Transformation, Growth, and Inequality: Evidence from Viet Nam” with Vengadeshvaran Sarma. 2018. In: Saumik Paul edited

Kuznets Beyond Kuznets: Structural Transformation and Income Distribution in the Era of Globalization in Asia

“Trade Liberalization, Productivity Growth, and Structural Transformation: A Synthetic Control Approach” with Cesar Blanco and Rasyad Parinduri. 2018. In: Saumik Paul edited

Kuznets Beyond Kuznets: Structural Transformation and Income Distribution in the Era of Globalization in Asia

Beyond the Myth: Policy Issues Concerning the Informal Sector. 2013.

Scholar’s Press ISBN 9783639514704

“Indian Performance, Religion and Economic Growth” with Yi Feng. 2012. In: Jacek Kugler and Ronald Tammen edited

The Performance of Nations, pages 229 – 244, Rowman and Littlefield Publishers

“Globalization and Public Health in Asia” with E.A. Jahncke, R. Rajan and A. Seow. 2010. In: Roger Deetles, Sheena Sullivan and Tan Chorh Chuan ed.

The Public Health in Asia UC Berkeley

“A Prototype Index of Municipal Performance” with Maria L. Amelina. 2010.

Local Self-Governance in Rural Russia Study of the Decentralization Reform, the World Bank

“Communities where Poor People Prosper” with D. Narayan and P. Pettesh. 2009.

Moving out of Poverty: the Promise of Empowerment and Democracy in India Palgrave Macmillan and World Bank

“Caste Dynamics and Mobility in Uttar Pradesh” Bank with D. Narayan, S. Kapoor and N. Badgaiyan. 2009

Moving out of Poverty: the Promise of Empowerment and Democracy in India Palgrave Macmillan and World

“Running the Numbers on Rogue States: A Comparative Perspective?” with Yi Feng. 2007.

The Worst of the Worst: Rogue and Repressive States in World Order, Brookings Press

13 December 2018 Sectoral labor income share dynamics: Cross-country evidence from a new dataset - Asia Pathways

The study of the labor income share plays an important role in understanding the relationship between national income and personal income. However, most of the empirical studies on the labor income share are conducted at the country level, while the limited number of industry-level analyses focus primarily on advanced countries due to limited data availability.

13 November 2018 Does skilled emigration matter for real exchange rate volatility? - Asia Pathways

While more than two-thirds of skilled migrants are directed to the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, and Australia, they come from more than 100 countries. Skilled emigration opens many indirect general equilibrium questions in the source country. Does skilled emigration matter for volatility in real exchange rates?

12 November 2018 Kuznets beyond Kuznets: Structural transformation and income distribution in the era of globalization in Asia - Asia Pathways

Inequality persists and so does the global concern over it. Kuznets’ views about the inverted-U relationship between inequality and development and the subsequent transformation process have been under the lenses of researchers for a long time.

26 October 2018 Is female entrepreneurship a coping strategy during crises? - Asia Pathways

The recent global economic crisis, with its peak in 2008, resulted in a decline in global gross domestic product. It led to unstable financial markets and a lag in private sector demand (World Bank 2010).

9 October 2018 Structural transformation, growth, and inequality: Evidence from Viet Nam - Asia Pathways

Economic development and growth entail large-scale structural transformation of economies. Many Asian and African economies are now undergoing such structural transformation—typically from agriculture to manufacturing and service sectors.

3 September 2018 Land trust laws as a solution to the land acquisition dilemma for infrastructure development in Asia - Asia Pathways

Many developing countries struggle with the dichotomy of acquiring land for infrastructure development and balancing landholder interests. Industrialization of rural villages across developing Asia (particularly in India) has created widespread social and political tensions in the recent past.

01 Jul 2015 Land acquisition, industrialisation, and displaced households - Ideas for India

Does industrialisation on acquired land benefit those displaced? Evaluating the long-term livelihood effects of the first Special Economic Zone in the state of West Bengal, this column finds that the impact on displaced households is mixed.