India: Economy | Asian Development Bank

India: Economy

Growth in FY2017 (ending 31 March 2018) is expected to be lower than forecast in the Asian Development Outlook 2017 as a new tax regime poses transitory challenges to firms and as investment by state governments and private investors remain muted. A pickup is envisaged in FY2018, aided by restructured bank balance sheets and efficiency gains from the new tax regime, but growth will again fall short of the April forecast. Stronger agriculture will ease inflation by more than expected in FY2017 and FY2108. Current account projections are unchanged. Read more from Asian Development Outlook 2017 Update

Note: GDP growth rate forecasts for 2017 and 2018.


Economic forecasts for South Asian countries

Country 2017f 2018f
Afghanistan –0.8 1.0
Bangladesh 5.5 5.5
Bhutan 6.7 8.4
India 6.5 6.2
Maldives 1.6 1.8
Nepal 4.2 3.9
Pakistan 3.2 3.5
Sri Lanka 4.7 4.7
Average 5.9 5.8
Country 2017f 2018f
Afghanistan 5.5 5.8
Bangladesh 5.4 6.0
Bhutan 4.3 5.4
India 4.0 4.6
Maldives 3.1 2.8
Nepal 4.5 6.5
Pakistan 4.2 4.8
Sri Lanka 7.0 4.0
Average 4.2 4.7
Country 2017f 2018f
Afghanistan 2.2 0.2
Bangladesh –0.6 –1.5
Bhutan –25.5 –22.8
India –1.3 –1.5
Maldives –16.4 –15.2
Nepal –0.4 –2.2
Pakistan –4.0 –4.2
Sri Lanka –3.5 –2.5
Average –1.6 –1.8
Country 2015
Afghanistan 610
Bangladesh 1,190
Bhutan 2,380
India 1,600
Maldives 6,950
Nepal 730
Pakistan 1,440
Sri Lanka 3,800

f = forecast number.

Sources:
Asian Development Outlook 2017
Asian Development Outlook 2017 Update