Timor-Leste: Economy

The forecast for gross domestic product growth in 2016 excluding the large offshore petroleum sector is revised up for Timor-Leste by half a percentage point because capital investment will likely increase following the approval of a rectification budget. The forecast for growth in 2017 remains unchanged. The projected current account surplus for 2016 is sharply increased in light of strong performances by Petroleum Fund investments, but the forecast for the surplus in 2017 is now lower to reflect a likely decline in petroleum income and a larger deficit in goods and services trade. Read more from Asian Development Outlook 2016 Update


Economic forecasts for Pacific countries

Country 2016 2017
Cook Islands 4.2 4.0
Fiji 2.4 4.5
Kiribati 1.8 1.5
Marshall Islands 1.5 2.0
Micronesia, Federated States of 2.0 2.5
Nauru 3.0 15.0
Palau 2.0 5.0
Papua New Guinea 2.2 3.0
Samoa 5.0 2.0
Solomon Islands 2.7 2.5
Timor-Leste 5.0 5.5
Tonga 3.1 2.6
Tuvalu 3.0 3.0
Vanuatu 3.5 3.8
Average 2.7 3.5
Country 2016 2017
Cook Islands 0.7 2.0
Fiji 3.5 3.0
Kiribati 0.7 2.0
Marshall Islands -1.3 1.0
Micronesia, Federated States of -0.3 1.5
Nauru 6.6 1.7
Palau 1.5 2.5
Papua New Guinea 6.5 7.5
Samoa 0.1 2.0
Solomon Islands 3.3 4.5
Timor-Leste 1.2 3.0
Tonga 2.0 1.9
Tuvalu 2.0 2.0
Vanuatu 1.9 2.4
Average 4.7 5.5
Country 2016 2017
Cook Islands 37.3 41.3
Fiji -7.0 -1.2
Kiribati -7.0 -2.6
Marshall Islands 10.0 8.9
Micronesia, Federated States of 3.8 2.0
Nauru ... ...
Palau -2.3 -1.3
Papua New Guinea 7.9 9.0
Samoa -3.9 -5.3
Solomon Islands -4.4 -6.1
Timor-Leste 36.1 10.2
Tonga -6.0 -7.6
Tuvalu -1.2 -18.7
Vanuatu -15.0 -13.5
Average 7.2 5.8

… = no data available.

Source: Asian Development Outlook 2016 Update