ADB is supporting Pakistan's reforms to tackle its chronic energy crisis. The program will support the overhaul of existing tariffs and subsidies as the government moves to eliminate subsidies by 2016, except for low-income customers. It will also back reforms to reduce power losses, encourage involvement of the private sector in the power sector, and improve transparency and accountability.
|Project Name||Sustainable Energy Sector Reform Program - Subprogram 1|
|Project Type / Modality of Assistance||Loan
|Source of Funding / Amount||
|Strategic Agendas||Inclusive economic growth
|Drivers of Change||Governance and capacity development
Private sector development
|Sector / Subsector||
Energy / Energy sector development and institutional reform
|Gender Equity and Mainstreaming||No gender elements|
|Description||The Program will help the Government with the short-term stabilization measures and start the long-term restructuring for a sustainable power sector.|
|Project Rationale and Linkage to Country/Regional Strategy||
The program aims to support the 2013 National Power Policy plan of the Government of Pakistan to make the energy sector affordable, reliable, sustainable, and secure to support the country's economic growth. The government approved the power policy with the goal of alleviating the chronic energy crisis that has crippled the industries and caused social unrest. The government agreed with the International Monetary Fund (IMF), under the extended fund facility (EFF), to reduce the energy sector's burden on the annual state budget and its negative impact on economic growth. The government has met the requirements for the first and second IMF reviews. The program is fully coordinated with the EFF. Based on the findings and lessons from previous interventions, the government needs support to realize and sustain the reforms set out in the power policy. The program takes a chronological approach over 5 years, with a subprogram targeted for each year and matched to the annual budget schedule. Long-term engagement is necessary because the reforms are multidimensional and require a number of years to yield results.
Pakistan''s economic growth slowed markedly in 2013, resulting in a 5-year average of 3%, which is well below the 7% annual growth necessary for enough employment creation to absorb the new entrants into the labor force. The chronic power shortage is estimated to have slowed gross domestic product (GDP) growth by at least 2 percentage points per year and is deemed to be the major cause of a decline in large-scale manufacturing, which grew by just 1.2% in 2012 and 2.8% in 2013. Without reliable power, factories are not able to deliver orders on time and have lost contracts. Textile exports, which account for more than 50% of goods export receipts, have only increased marginally since 2010. The steady deterioration of power availability has also hurt business confidence. Private investment has decreased by 7.5% since 2008. Power sector subsidies remain high at 1.8% of GDP, or $3.8 billion, despite a 160% increase in power tariffs since 2008. Power sector subsidies combined with low tax revenues are a significant contributor to the government's weak fiscal position. High fiscal deficits (8% of GDP in FY2013) led to more government borrowing, mainly from the domestic banking system, and elevated public debt (62.7% of GDP in FY2013). The Fiscal Responsibility and Debt Limitation Act 2005 requires the government to reduce the public debt to GDP ratio to 60% by June 2013 (i.e., the end of FY2013) and maintain that ratio at below 60% from July 2013 onward. The public-debt GDP ratio was 62.7% in FY2013, mainly owing to the actual deficit being higher than projected. The government expects that the ratio will be 61.4% for FY2014 and will take measures to maintain it below 60% from FY2015 onwards. The continued pursuit of tax and structural reforms to achieve fiscal consolidation, underpinned by the IMF program and support from ADB and other development partners, is expected to strengthen the fiscal position. Fiscal performance was on track in the second quarter of FY2014. With strong fiscal adjustment, public debt is expected to decline gradually.
Reforms in Pakistan''s power sector have been ongoing since 1992. However, the pace has been slow and the expected efficiencies have yet to materialize. The unbundling and corporatization of the Water and Power Development Authority into nine regional power distribution companies (DISCOs), four thermal power generation companies (GENCOs), a transmission company licensed as a single buyer and seller of electricity, and the hydropower plants are retained by the Water and Power Development Authority was accomplished, but all entities are still fully owned by the government. Karachi Electric Supply Company has been privatized. Privately owned independent power producers (IPPs) generate 56% of the country's power. The National Electric Power Regulatory Authority (NEPRA) determines tariffs, issues licenses, and regulates the sector. Around two-thirds of the population have access to grid electricity. The consumption of electricity has remained constrained and relatively static at about 72 terawatts per year.
|Impact||Economic growth through sustainable energy sector|
|Description of Outcome||Reliable, sustainable, and affordable energy system|
|Progress Toward Outcome||Subprogram 1 loan financially closed on 3 June 2015. Policy matrix updated for Subprogram 2.|
|Description of Project Outputs||
1. Managing tariffs and subsidies
(i) Clear policies on tariffs and subsidies that are targeted at low-income customers
(ii) Ensure policy implementation through NEPRA rules and guidelines
(iii) Reduction of discretionary policy decisions and of lag in tariff approval and implementation
2. Improving sector performance and market access for private sector participation
(i) Reducing losses and improving collection rate of DISCOs
(ii) Improving demand-side efficiency and strengthening energy conservation
(iii) Managing generation costs through least-cost planning, and ensuring that new power generation plants follow the plan
(iv) Increasing gas supply and opening the gas market to direct contracting between producers and large-volume gas consumers
(v) Commercializing and improving the performance of public sector power companies
(vi) Institutionalizing the commercial operations of the CPPA
3. Achieving accountability and transparency in the power sector
|Status of Implementation Progress (Outputs, Activities, and Issues)||Subprogram 1 completed (refer above).|
|Summary of Environmental and Social Aspects|
|Environmental Aspects||An environmental assessment for the entire program found that the policy action requiring the government to prepare a least-cost generation and transmission plan may have future impacts on the environment if not appropriately managed. The covenants in the loan agreement include carrying out a strategic environmental assessment and making sure that any identified long-term environmental impact is managed in accordance with the Safeguard Policy Statement.|
|Involuntary Resettlement||No involuntary resettlement.|
|Indigenous Peoples||No impacts on indigenous peoples.|
|Stakeholder Communication, Participation, and Consultation|
|During Project Design||Consultations held with government, non-government organizations, commercial organizations, and the donor community.|
|During Project Implementation||Consultations continued with non-government organizations, commercial organizations, and the donor community during implementation.|
|Responsible ADB Officer||Mtchedlishvili, Levan G.|
|Responsible ADB Department||Central and West Asia Department|
|Responsible ADB Division||Energy Division, CWRD|
|Concept Clearance||07 Feb 2014|
|Fact Finding||07 Feb 2014 to 14 Feb 2014|
|MRM||10 Mar 2014|
|Approval||24 Apr 2014|
|Last Review Mission||-|
|Last PDS Update||31 Mar 2016|
|Approval||Signing Date||Effectivity Date||Closing|
|24 Apr 2014||28 Apr 2014||28 Apr 2014||30 Jun 2015||-||03 Jun 2015|
|Financing Plan||Loan Utilization|
|Total (Amount in US$ million)||Date||ADB||Others||Net Percentage|
|Project Cost||403.60||Cumulative Contract Awards|
|ADB||400.00||24 Apr 2014||399.16||0.00||100%|
|Cofinancing||0.00||24 Apr 2014||399.16||0.00||100%|
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|Title||Document Type||Document Date|
|Sustainable Energy Sector Reform Program - Subprogram 1: Project Data Sheet (Urdu Translation)||Translated PDS||May 2014|
|Sustainable Energy Sector Reform Program - Subprogram 1||Reports and Recommendations of the President||Apr 2014|
|Loan Agreement (Special Operations) for Sustainable Energy Sector Reform Program - Subprogram 1||Loan Agreement (Special Operations)||Apr 2014|
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