China, People's Republic of : Support for the Thirteenth Five-Year Plan

Public sector management / Economic affairs management

The objective of this TA is to assist the PRC in preparing the 13th FYP to overcome the middle income trap and achieve more inclusive and sustainable development. The scope of this TA includes a background analysis of the PRC's current development and challenges, socio-economic structure, growth potential, internal and external forces that are likely to drive change in the next 5 years. ADB's knowledge contribution towards the PRC's preparation of the 13th Five-Year plan will be made, not only through this particular TA, but also through many other recent, ongoing, and planned knowledge work by various "knowledge producers" within ADB. This TA will primarily focus on the three key challenges:

1. Industrial transformation. The TA will examine issues such as industrial upgrading and innovations (policies, institutions, technical progress, governance and capacity), high-quality service sector development, role of state-owned enterprises (SOEs) and small and medium enterprises (SMEs), role of private sector, power of the market, and financial sector efficiency. This part of the work will also draw on recent, ongoing, and planned ADB knowledge work in this area to avoid duplication.

2. Rural-urban transformation. The TA will examine issues such as balanced rural-urban development (e.g. inclusive development, and rural and urban infrastructure including transport), service provision and benefits (including migrants); security of tenure and equitable benefit from transfer of operating rights, agricultural modernization, and agribusiness transformation. This part of the work will also draw on recent, ongoing, and planned ADB knowledge work in this area (e.g. industrial relocation, rural-urban integration, urban and rural transport, and agricultural transformation) to avoid duplication.

3. Human resource transformation. The TA will examine issues such as surplus labor, aging population, human resource development, entrepreneurship, capacity development to support the above transformations, vocational education and training, and the role of knowledge. This part of the work will also draw on recent, ongoing, and planned ADB knowledge work (e.g. technical and vocational education and training) in this area to avoid duplication.

The TA will analyze the key issues under each of the 3 areas, and provide appropriate policy recommendations. The proposed reforms will be sequenced and linked to the central theme of overcoming the middle income trap.

The outputs will comprise reports, workshops, field research and dissemination.

1. Reports

(i) 1 main report (a synthesis of 3 sub-reports)

(ii) 3 sub-reports on

a. Industrial Transformation

b. Rural-urban Transformation

c. Human Resource Transformation

2. Workshops

3. Field research

4. Dissemination event

The inception workshop was conducted on 21 July 2014; the midterm workshop was held on 10 September 2014; and the final workshop was held on 23 October 2014. The final draft reports were submitted to the NDRC on 1 December 2014. The project will be closed by 31 December 2015.

The TA is extended to 31 December 2016.