Implementing the Trade Facilitation Agreement: From Global Impacts to Value Chains
This paper uses a new methodology that factors in general equilibrium effects to estimate the potential impacts of the World Trade Organization’s Trade Facilitation Agreement (TFA).
The results reveal that full implementation of the TFA could boost the value of global trade by $344 billion, a 3.5% increase compared to the 2015 baseline. The evidence suggests that TFA implementation could also further the development of value chains around the world, especially in middle-income economies, as it would promote a shift from manufactured goods toward intermediate goods.
- Econometric Model
- Conclusion and Policy Implications