Long-Term Interest Rate Spillovers from Major Developed Economies to Emerging Asia | Asian Development Bank

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Long-Term Interest Rate Spillovers from Major Developed Economies to Emerging Asia

Publication | March 2017
Long-Term Interest Rate Spillovers from Major Developed Economies to Emerging Asia

Developed countries’ long-term interest rates have influenced long-term government bond yields in emerging Asia.

We explore the extent to which changes to long-term interest rates in major developed economies have influenced long-term government bond yields in emerging Asia. To gauge long-term interest spillover effects, we use vector autoregressive variance decompositions with high-frequency data. Our results reveal that sovereign bond yields in emerging Asia responded significantly to changes to the United States and eurozone bond yields, although the magnitudes were heterogeneous across countries. The magnitude of spillovers varied over time. The pattern of these variations can partially be explained by the implementation of different unconventional monetary policy measures in developed countries.

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