Papers and Briefs
Browse all ADB-researched or supported working papers and briefs.
Analysis of Forecasting Models in an Electricity Market under Volatility
Accurate price forecasting may enable electricity generators to allocate their resources optimally to manage the dynamic demand from various regions.
How Precious Is the Reliability of the Residential Electricity Service in Developing Economies? Evidence from India
Proactive and efficient policies that complement electricity tariff reforms are needed to enhance residential power service supply in emerging economies.
Developing Modernization Indicators for the People’s Republic of China: Key Considerations and a Proposed Framework
This working paper applies a modernization indicator to assesses the progress of the People’s Republic of China (PRC) and compared it with countries of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development and the G20.
Tuberculosis Control Measures in Urban India: Strengthening Delivery of Comprehensive Primary Health Services
This paper analyzes the magnitude of tuberculosis (TB) transmission and the quality of interventions in India’s urban areas and migrant populations. This paper offers actionable recommendations for TB elimination in India by 2025.
Maldives Macroeconomic Forecasting: A Component-Driven Quarterly Bayesian Vector Autoregression Approach
This study aims to build an efficient small-scale macroeconomic forecasting tool for Maldives using Bayesian vector autoregression estimations to circumvent the "curse of dimensionality" and constraints to analyzing and organizing data.
Predicting Poverty Using Geospatial Data in Thailand
This study examines an alternative approach in estimating poverty by investigating whether readily available geospatial data can accurately predict the spatial distribution of poverty in Thailand.
The Wellness Economy: A Comprehensive System of National Accounts Approach
This working paper explains how to derive indicators for a country's wellness sector using the system of national accounts framework. It also provides estimates of these indicators for 10 countries in developing Asia across 2 time periods.
Applying Artificial Intelligence on Satellite Imagery to Compile Granular Poverty Statistics
This study outlines a computational framework to enhance the spatial granularity of government-published poverty estimates, citing data from the Philippines and Thailand.
Drivers and Benefits of Enhancing Participation in Global Value Chains: Lessons for India
This paper explores how global value chains (GVCs) can aid India’s development outcomes across primary, manufacturing, and services sectors, drawing from the Asian Development Bank’s Multiregional Input–Output Database.
Climate Change and International Migration: Evidence from Tajikistan
Environmental changes could affect both the incentive and the ability to migrate.